Official temperature records from Seattle-area monitoring stations confirmed a daily maximum of 86-87°F on August 6, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service observations and driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. Regional atmospheric conditions, including a stable high-pressure ridge and minimal marine influence, limited afternoon heating to this range without exceeding typical late-summer baselines for the Pacific Northwest. Traders incorporated real-time model outputs and station data showing no upward revisions, creating near-certainty ahead of final verification. Only an improbable data correction from primary sources or reclassification of the observation period could alter resolution, though historical precedent indicates such adjustments are rare for this market type.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on August 6?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 6?
86-87°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$64,037 ปริมาณ
$64,037 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$64,037 ปริมาณ
$64,037 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
$13,811 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$6,652 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$5,864 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$5,532 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$9,178 ปริมาณ
100%
88-89°F
$11,227 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$3,701 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$3,037 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$578 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$3,885 ปริมาณ
<1%
98°F or higher
$573 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature records from Seattle-area monitoring stations confirmed a daily maximum of 86-87°F on August 6, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service observations and driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. Regional atmospheric conditions, including a stable high-pressure ridge and minimal marine influence, limited afternoon heating to this range without exceeding typical late-summer baselines for the Pacific Northwest. Traders incorporated real-time model outputs and station data showing no upward revisions, creating near-certainty ahead of final verification. Only an improbable data correction from primary sources or reclassification of the observation period could alter resolution, though historical precedent indicates such adjustments are rare for this market type.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,037วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature records from Seattle-area monitoring stations confirmed a daily maximum of 86-87°F on August 6, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service observations and driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. Regional atmospheric conditions, including a stable high-pressure ridge and minimal marine influence, limited afternoon heating to this range without exceeding typical late-summer baselines for the Pacific Northwest. Traders incorporated real-time model outputs and station data showing no upward revisions, creating near-certainty ahead of final verification. Only an improbable data correction from primary sources or reclassification of the observation period could alter resolution, though historical precedent indicates such adjustments are rare for this market type.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,037วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature records from Seattle-area monitoring stations confirmed a daily maximum of 86-87°F on August 6, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service observations and driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. Regional atmospheric conditions, including a stable high-pressure ridge and minimal marine influence, limited afternoon heating to this range without exceeding typical late-summer baselines for the Pacific Northwest. Traders incorporated real-time model outputs and station data showing no upward revisions, creating near-certainty ahead of final verification. Only an improbable data correction from primary sources or reclassification of the observation period could alter resolution, though historical precedent indicates such adjustments are rare for this market type.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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