Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC point to a daytime maximum near 36–37°C in Madrid on August 7 under persistent subtropical high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and clear skies that limit cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 39°C or 38°C reflects model consensus on above-average 850 hPa temperatures and minimal moisture, which support modest intensification beyond the long-term August climatology of roughly 32–33°C. Key differentiators include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and exact timing of peak insolation; recent ensemble runs show tight clustering around these values with limited spread. Resolution depends on official AEMET station readings, where any late-afternoon revision or microscale variation could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 7?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 7?
39°C 51%
38°C 43%
37°C 6%
40°C 5%
ใหม่
$15,010 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,010 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
6%
38°C
43%
39°C
51%
40°C
5%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 51%
38°C 43%
37°C 6%
40°C 5%
ใหม่
$15,010 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,010 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
35°C or below
$766 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$659 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$2,526 ปริมาณ
6%
38°C
$3,822 ปริมาณ
43%
39°C
$3,765 ปริมาณ
51%
40°C
$1,266 ปริมาณ
5%
41°C
$661 ปริมาณ
<1%
42°C
$481 ปริมาณ
<1%
43°C
$410 ปริมาณ
<1%
44°C
$256 ปริมาณ
<1%
45°C or higher
$397 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC point to a daytime maximum near 36–37°C in Madrid on August 7 under persistent subtropical high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and clear skies that limit cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 39°C or 38°C reflects model consensus on above-average 850 hPa temperatures and minimal moisture, which support modest intensification beyond the long-term August climatology of roughly 32–33°C. Key differentiators include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and exact timing of peak insolation; recent ensemble runs show tight clustering around these values with limited spread. Resolution depends on official AEMET station readings, where any late-afternoon revision or microscale variation could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,010วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC point to a daytime maximum near 36–37°C in Madrid on August 7 under persistent subtropical high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and clear skies that limit cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 39°C or 38°C reflects model consensus on above-average 850 hPa temperatures and minimal moisture, which support modest intensification beyond the long-term August climatology of roughly 32–33°C. Key differentiators include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and exact timing of peak insolation; recent ensemble runs show tight clustering around these values with limited spread. Resolution depends on official AEMET station readings, where any late-afternoon revision or microscale variation could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,010วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC point to a daytime maximum near 36–37°C in Madrid on August 7 under persistent subtropical high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and clear skies that limit cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 39°C or 38°C reflects model consensus on above-average 850 hPa temperatures and minimal moisture, which support modest intensification beyond the long-term August climatology of roughly 32–33°C. Key differentiators include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and exact timing of peak insolation; recent ensemble runs show tight clustering around these values with limited spread. Resolution depends on official AEMET station readings, where any late-afternoon revision or microscale variation could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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