Latest weather model consensus for Shenzhen points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C on August 7 under predominantly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal daytime rainfall, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. In Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate, summer highs are driven by strong solar heating, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that amplify afternoon maxima, typically reaching 32–34°C in early August. Recent observations show consistently hot, stable conditions without significant cloud cover or typhoon influences to suppress temperatures. Minor forecast variations in timing of any afternoon convection or wind shifts introduce uncertainty between the 34°C and 35°C thresholds, while historical analogs and ensemble guidance support limited upside risk beyond 35°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 7?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 7?
34°C 44%
35°C 26%
33°C 18%
36°C 8%
ใหม่
$18,372 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$18,372 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
18%
34°C
44%
35°C
26%
36°C
8%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 44%
35°C 26%
33°C 18%
36°C 8%
ใหม่
$18,372 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$18,372 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
$1,913 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$855 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,006 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$1,315 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$1,325 ปริมาณ
7%
33°C
$1,299 ปริมาณ
18%
34°C
$3,699 ปริมาณ
44%
35°C
$2,156 ปริมาณ
26%
36°C
$1,867 ปริมาณ
8%
37°C
$1,681 ปริมาณ
3%
38°C or higher
$1,256 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest weather model consensus for Shenzhen points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C on August 7 under predominantly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal daytime rainfall, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. In Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate, summer highs are driven by strong solar heating, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that amplify afternoon maxima, typically reaching 32–34°C in early August. Recent observations show consistently hot, stable conditions without significant cloud cover or typhoon influences to suppress temperatures. Minor forecast variations in timing of any afternoon convection or wind shifts introduce uncertainty between the 34°C and 35°C thresholds, while historical analogs and ensemble guidance support limited upside risk beyond 35°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,372วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest weather model consensus for Shenzhen points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C on August 7 under predominantly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal daytime rainfall, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. In Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate, summer highs are driven by strong solar heating, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that amplify afternoon maxima, typically reaching 32–34°C in early August. Recent observations show consistently hot, stable conditions without significant cloud cover or typhoon influences to suppress temperatures. Minor forecast variations in timing of any afternoon convection or wind shifts introduce uncertainty between the 34°C and 35°C thresholds, while historical analogs and ensemble guidance support limited upside risk beyond 35°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,372วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest weather model consensus for Shenzhen points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C on August 7 under predominantly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal daytime rainfall, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. In Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate, summer highs are driven by strong solar heating, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that amplify afternoon maxima, typically reaching 32–34°C in early August. Recent observations show consistently hot, stable conditions without significant cloud cover or typhoon influences to suppress temperatures. Minor forecast variations in timing of any afternoon convection or wind shifts introduce uncertainty between the 34°C and 35°C thresholds, while historical analogs and ensemble guidance support limited upside risk beyond 35°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย