Current forecast consensus from regional models points to a daily maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on September 2, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northwest flow typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 33°C (75%) and 32°C (21.5%), reflecting seasonal norms near 30–31°C but with slight warm bias from recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. Official guidance from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicates low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher minimal at 3%. Updated model outputs over the next 24–48 hours will determine whether any modest warming or cooling trend emerges before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
33°C 75%
32°C 22%
34°C 3%
31°C 2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
22%
33°C
75%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 75%
32°C 22%
34°C 3%
31°C 2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
22%
33°C
75%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from regional models points to a daily maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on September 2, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northwest flow typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 33°C (75%) and 32°C (21.5%), reflecting seasonal norms near 30–31°C but with slight warm bias from recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. Official guidance from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicates low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher minimal at 3%. Updated model outputs over the next 24–48 hours will determine whether any modest warming or cooling trend emerges before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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