**Current observational data and short-range forecast consensus from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration place Qingdao’s daily maximum near 25–27 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast flow.** Coastal sea-breeze circulation and high humidity are limiting surface heating despite September solar angles, keeping most guidance below the 28 °C threshold that currently holds the narrowest lead in trader-implied odds. The tight spread between 28 °C and 29 °C reflects uncertainty in whether localized warming—driven by brief cloud breaks or slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing—will push the official maximum (typically measured at the airport or standard synoptic station) one degree higher. Historical mid-September maxima average 24–26 °C, so any exceedance of 27 °C would mark an above-normal event consistent with the modest probability assigned to 30 °C or higher. Updated hourly METAR trends and the next CMA guidance release remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 18?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 18?
28°C 51%
29°C 41%
30°C 6%
31°C or higher 2%
ใหม่
$10,535 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,535 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
51%
29°C
41%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 51%
29°C 41%
30°C 6%
31°C or higher 2%
ใหม่
$10,535 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,535 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$268 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$280 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$699 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,190 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$3,849 ปริมาณ
51%
29°C
$2,626 ปริมาณ
41%
30°C
$822 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C or higher
$678 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data and short-range forecast consensus from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration place Qingdao’s daily maximum near 25–27 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast flow.** Coastal sea-breeze circulation and high humidity are limiting surface heating despite September solar angles, keeping most guidance below the 28 °C threshold that currently holds the narrowest lead in trader-implied odds. The tight spread between 28 °C and 29 °C reflects uncertainty in whether localized warming—driven by brief cloud breaks or slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing—will push the official maximum (typically measured at the airport or standard synoptic station) one degree higher. Historical mid-September maxima average 24–26 °C, so any exceedance of 27 °C would mark an above-normal event consistent with the modest probability assigned to 30 °C or higher. Updated hourly METAR trends and the next CMA guidance release remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,535วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data and short-range forecast consensus from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration place Qingdao’s daily maximum near 25–27 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast flow.** Coastal sea-breeze circulation and high humidity are limiting surface heating despite September solar angles, keeping most guidance below the 28 °C threshold that currently holds the narrowest lead in trader-implied odds. The tight spread between 28 °C and 29 °C reflects uncertainty in whether localized warming—driven by brief cloud breaks or slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing—will push the official maximum (typically measured at the airport or standard synoptic station) one degree higher. Historical mid-September maxima average 24–26 °C, so any exceedance of 27 °C would mark an above-normal event consistent with the modest probability assigned to 30 °C or higher. Updated hourly METAR trends and the next CMA guidance release remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,535วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current observational data and short-range forecast consensus from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration place Qingdao’s daily maximum near 25–27 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast flow.** Coastal sea-breeze circulation and high humidity are limiting surface heating despite September solar angles, keeping most guidance below the 28 °C threshold that currently holds the narrowest lead in trader-implied odds. The tight spread between 28 °C and 29 °C reflects uncertainty in whether localized warming—driven by brief cloud breaks or slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing—will push the official maximum (typically measured at the airport or standard synoptic station) one degree higher. Historical mid-September maxima average 24–26 °C, so any exceedance of 27 °C would mark an above-normal event consistent with the modest probability assigned to 30 °C or higher. Updated hourly METAR trends and the next CMA guidance release remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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