Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 18 indicate sunny, dry conditions with maximum temperatures of 27–32°C under a moderating northeast monsoon and high-pressure influence, supporting strong daytime heating with low precipitation risk. This setup favors peak readings near 32°C, consistent with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for that outcome versus 32% for 31°C. Low relative humidity (down to 55%) and easterly winds around 4–5 Beaufort enhance surface warming compared to more humid or cloudy analogs, while historical September maxima average near 30–31°C. Traders appear to weigh the official daily maximum threshold against potential minor forecast revisions from updated model runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
32°C 42%
31°C 31%
30°C 15%
33°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
31%
32°C
42%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
31°C 31%
30°C 15%
33°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
$751 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$259 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$263 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$288 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$191 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$273 ปริมาณ
15%
31°C
$1,169 ปริมาณ
31%
32°C
$2,802 ปริมาณ
42%
33°C
$629 ปริมาณ
13%
34°C
$380 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C or higher
$401 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 18 indicate sunny, dry conditions with maximum temperatures of 27–32°C under a moderating northeast monsoon and high-pressure influence, supporting strong daytime heating with low precipitation risk. This setup favors peak readings near 32°C, consistent with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for that outcome versus 32% for 31°C. Low relative humidity (down to 55%) and easterly winds around 4–5 Beaufort enhance surface warming compared to more humid or cloudy analogs, while historical September maxima average near 30–31°C. Traders appear to weigh the official daily maximum threshold against potential minor forecast revisions from updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,406วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 18 indicate sunny, dry conditions with maximum temperatures of 27–32°C under a moderating northeast monsoon and high-pressure influence, supporting strong daytime heating with low precipitation risk. This setup favors peak readings near 32°C, consistent with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for that outcome versus 32% for 31°C. Low relative humidity (down to 55%) and easterly winds around 4–5 Beaufort enhance surface warming compared to more humid or cloudy analogs, while historical September maxima average near 30–31°C. Traders appear to weigh the official daily maximum threshold against potential minor forecast revisions from updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,406วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 18 indicate sunny, dry conditions with maximum temperatures of 27–32°C under a moderating northeast monsoon and high-pressure influence, supporting strong daytime heating with low precipitation risk. This setup favors peak readings near 32°C, consistent with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for that outcome versus 32% for 31°C. Low relative humidity (down to 55%) and easterly winds around 4–5 Beaufort enhance surface warming compared to more humid or cloudy analogs, while historical September maxima average near 30–31°C. Traders appear to weigh the official daily maximum threshold against potential minor forecast revisions from updated model runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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