Forecasts from multiple models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum near 14–16°C on September 19 under mild spring conditions, with northerly to easterly flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and no strong cold advection expected. This consensus supports the elevated market-implied odds for the 14°C bin while the near-equal probabilities attached to 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher reflect remaining ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average around 11–13°C, so current guidance sits slightly above the long-term baseline. Updated model runs and the next SMN briefing on the 19th will provide the final data for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 19?
12°C 40%
13°C 36%
17°C 36%
10°C or below 30%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
30%
11°C
18%
12°C
40%
13°C
36%
14°C
30%
15°C
28%
16°C
24%
17°C
36%
18°C
18%
19°C
13%
20°C or higher
-
12°C 40%
13°C 36%
17°C 36%
10°C or below 30%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
$61 ปริมาณ
30%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
15°C
$16 ปริมาณ
28%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
20°C or higher
$320 ปริมาณ
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum near 14–16°C on September 19 under mild spring conditions, with northerly to easterly flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and no strong cold advection expected. This consensus supports the elevated market-implied odds for the 14°C bin while the near-equal probabilities attached to 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher reflect remaining ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average around 11–13°C, so current guidance sits slightly above the long-term baseline. Updated model runs and the next SMN briefing on the 19th will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$397วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum near 14–16°C on September 19 under mild spring conditions, with northerly to easterly flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and no strong cold advection expected. This consensus supports the elevated market-implied odds for the 14°C bin while the near-equal probabilities attached to 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher reflect remaining ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average around 11–13°C, so current guidance sits slightly above the long-term baseline. Updated model runs and the next SMN briefing on the 19th will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$397วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum near 14–16°C on September 19 under mild spring conditions, with northerly to easterly flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and no strong cold advection expected. This consensus supports the elevated market-implied odds for the 14°C bin while the near-equal probabilities attached to 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher reflect remaining ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average around 11–13°C, so current guidance sits slightly above the long-term baseline. Updated model runs and the next SMN briefing on the 19th will provide the final data for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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