Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a September 18 high of 28–29°C in Beijing under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation, aligning with the market’s strong 60.5% implied probability on 29°C and 24.5% on 28°C. These values sit above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 25.8°C yet below recent days’ 30°C peaks, reflecting seasonal cooling and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential to 30°C only if afternoon clearing strengthens, consistent with the 14% odds, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given current surface observations near 26–28°C by midday. Updated model runs through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
29°C 62%
28°C 27%
30°C 13%
31°C 2%
$32,837 ปริมาณ
$32,837 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
27%
29°C
62%
30°C
13%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 62%
28°C 27%
30°C 13%
31°C 2%
$32,837 ปริมาณ
$32,837 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
23°C or below
$1,579 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$2,381 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$4,701 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$2,921 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$7,745 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$3,191 ปริมาณ
27%
29°C
$3,331 ปริมาณ
62%
30°C
$3,683 ปริมาณ
13%
31°C
$1,322 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$1,034 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$950 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a September 18 high of 28–29°C in Beijing under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation, aligning with the market’s strong 60.5% implied probability on 29°C and 24.5% on 28°C. These values sit above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 25.8°C yet below recent days’ 30°C peaks, reflecting seasonal cooling and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential to 30°C only if afternoon clearing strengthens, consistent with the 14% odds, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given current surface observations near 26–28°C by midday. Updated model runs through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,837วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a September 18 high of 28–29°C in Beijing under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation, aligning with the market’s strong 60.5% implied probability on 29°C and 24.5% on 28°C. These values sit above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 25.8°C yet below recent days’ 30°C peaks, reflecting seasonal cooling and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential to 30°C only if afternoon clearing strengthens, consistent with the 14% odds, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given current surface observations near 26–28°C by midday. Updated model runs through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,837วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a September 18 high of 28–29°C in Beijing under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation, aligning with the market’s strong 60.5% implied probability on 29°C and 24.5% on 28°C. These values sit above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 25.8°C yet below recent days’ 30°C peaks, reflecting seasonal cooling and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential to 30°C only if afternoon clearing strengthens, consistent with the 14% odds, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given current surface observations near 26–28°C by midday. Updated model runs through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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