Recent weather observations and numerical forecast models for Guangzhou on September 18 show afternoon highs clustering near 34–35°C, with trader consensus split between 35°C and 36°C amid minor model spread. Subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow support modest daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by high humidity near 70–80%—limit peak insolation and introduce uncertainty in the exact maximum. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market based on the recorded daily high, with any late-day convective development or clearer skies the key variables that could shift the outcome by 1°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 18?
36°C 42%
35°C 40%
37°C 9%
34°C 8%
$26,820 ปริมาณ
$26,820 ปริมาณ
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
8%
35°C
40%
36°C
42%
37°C
9%
38°C or higher
1%
36°C 42%
35°C 40%
37°C 9%
34°C 8%
$26,820 ปริมาณ
$26,820 ปริมาณ
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
8%
35°C
40%
36°C
42%
37°C
9%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather observations and numerical forecast models for Guangzhou on September 18 show afternoon highs clustering near 34–35°C, with trader consensus split between 35°C and 36°C amid minor model spread. Subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow support modest daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by high humidity near 70–80%—limit peak insolation and introduce uncertainty in the exact maximum. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market based on the recorded daily high, with any late-day convective development or clearer skies the key variables that could shift the outcome by 1°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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