NWS forecasts for September 19 point to a mostly sunny day with highs near 73°F in San Francisco, supporting the market's tight clustering around 70-73°F. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a moderating marine layer keep temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms near 71°F, while variable cloud cover and southwest winds of 5-15 mph introduce uncertainty between the leading bins. Model runs show limited disagreement on maximum readings at official stations, with any brief clearing or slight pressure ridge strengthening the main variables that could shift outcomes toward 74°F or hold them at 68-69°F. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will clarify these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 19?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 19?
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 28%
68-69°F 19%
74-75°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
65°F or below
3%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 28%
68-69°F 19%
74-75°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
65°F or below
$51 ปริมาณ
3%
66-67°F
$15 ปริมาณ
5%
68-69°F
$307 ปริมาณ
19%
70-71°F
$496 ปริมาณ
37%
72-73°F
$116 ปริมาณ
28%
74-75°F
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
76-77°F
$40 ปริมาณ
3%
78-79°F
$27 ปริมาณ
6%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
84°F or higher
$596 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS forecasts for September 19 point to a mostly sunny day with highs near 73°F in San Francisco, supporting the market's tight clustering around 70-73°F. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a moderating marine layer keep temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms near 71°F, while variable cloud cover and southwest winds of 5-15 mph introduce uncertainty between the leading bins. Model runs show limited disagreement on maximum readings at official stations, with any brief clearing or slight pressure ridge strengthening the main variables that could shift outcomes toward 74°F or hold them at 68-69°F. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will clarify these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,652วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS forecasts for September 19 point to a mostly sunny day with highs near 73°F in San Francisco, supporting the market's tight clustering around 70-73°F. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a moderating marine layer keep temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms near 71°F, while variable cloud cover and southwest winds of 5-15 mph introduce uncertainty between the leading bins. Model runs show limited disagreement on maximum readings at official stations, with any brief clearing or slight pressure ridge strengthening the main variables that could shift outcomes toward 74°F or hold them at 68-69°F. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will clarify these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,652วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...NWS forecasts for September 19 point to a mostly sunny day with highs near 73°F in San Francisco, supporting the market's tight clustering around 70-73°F. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a moderating marine layer keep temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms near 71°F, while variable cloud cover and southwest winds of 5-15 mph introduce uncertainty between the leading bins. Model runs show limited disagreement on maximum readings at official stations, with any brief clearing or slight pressure ridge strengthening the main variables that could shift outcomes toward 74°F or hold them at 68-69°F. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will clarify these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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