Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office points to a daytime high near 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 19, supporting the market’s leading 25°C outcome at 51% implied probability. High-altitude location (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent cloud cover with light rain or drizzle—typical for late rainy-season conditions—moderate peak temperatures, while recent September observations show daily maxima clustered between 22–27°C. Model consensus favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies but notes afternoon convection could trim the high by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places the September average high near 23–24°C, so traders appear to weigh the slightly above-normal forecast against resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely drive the next shifts in these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 19?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 19?
25°C 53%
26°C or higher 29%
24°C 17%
23°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
17%
25°C
53%
26°C or higher
29%
25°C 53%
26°C or higher 29%
24°C 17%
23°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
16°C or below
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$58 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$143 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$519 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$157 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$565 ปริมาณ
17%
25°C
$1,084 ปริมาณ
53%
26°C or higher
$520 ปริมาณ
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office points to a daytime high near 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 19, supporting the market’s leading 25°C outcome at 51% implied probability. High-altitude location (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent cloud cover with light rain or drizzle—typical for late rainy-season conditions—moderate peak temperatures, while recent September observations show daily maxima clustered between 22–27°C. Model consensus favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies but notes afternoon convection could trim the high by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places the September average high near 23–24°C, so traders appear to weigh the slightly above-normal forecast against resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely drive the next shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,170วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office points to a daytime high near 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 19, supporting the market’s leading 25°C outcome at 51% implied probability. High-altitude location (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent cloud cover with light rain or drizzle—typical for late rainy-season conditions—moderate peak temperatures, while recent September observations show daily maxima clustered between 22–27°C. Model consensus favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies but notes afternoon convection could trim the high by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places the September average high near 23–24°C, so traders appear to weigh the slightly above-normal forecast against resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely drive the next shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,170วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office points to a daytime high near 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 19, supporting the market’s leading 25°C outcome at 51% implied probability. High-altitude location (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent cloud cover with light rain or drizzle—typical for late rainy-season conditions—moderate peak temperatures, while recent September observations show daily maxima clustered between 22–27°C. Model consensus favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies but notes afternoon convection could trim the high by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places the September average high near 23–24°C, so traders appear to weigh the slightly above-normal forecast against resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely drive the next shifts in these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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