Recent forecast guidance from European models, including consensus runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, positions maximum temperatures in Munich on August 5 near 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure and warm southwesterly flow. This range aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33 °C (41.5 %), 34 °C (25.5 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %). Current observational trends show daytime highs already reaching the low 30s °C in southern Bavaria, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could favor the lower end of the distribution if boundary-layer mixing strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on August 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 5?
33°C 42%
34°C 27%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
42%
34°C
27%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
34°C 27%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
$138 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$327 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$376 ปริมาณ
22%
33°C
$327 ปริมาณ
42%
34°C
$304 ปริมาณ
27%
35°C
$477 ปริมาณ
9%
36°C
$207 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C
$351 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C
$112 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$136 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C or higher
$353 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models, including consensus runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, positions maximum temperatures in Munich on August 5 near 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure and warm southwesterly flow. This range aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33 °C (41.5 %), 34 °C (25.5 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %). Current observational trends show daytime highs already reaching the low 30s °C in southern Bavaria, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could favor the lower end of the distribution if boundary-layer mixing strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,108วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models, including consensus runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, positions maximum temperatures in Munich on August 5 near 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure and warm southwesterly flow. This range aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33 °C (41.5 %), 34 °C (25.5 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %). Current observational trends show daytime highs already reaching the low 30s °C in southern Bavaria, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could favor the lower end of the distribution if boundary-layer mixing strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,108วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models, including consensus runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, positions maximum temperatures in Munich on August 5 near 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure and warm southwesterly flow. This range aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33 °C (41.5 %), 34 °C (25.5 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %). Current observational trends show daytime highs already reaching the low 30s °C in southern Bavaria, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could favor the lower end of the distribution if boundary-layer mixing strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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