Recent model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a peak temperature near 32–33°C in Milan on September 8, driven by lingering southerly flow and late-summer warmth before a cold front arrives. Increasing atmospheric instability, with afternoon thunderstorm risk and rising cloud cover, introduces uncertainty that could suppress the daily maximum through reduced insolation or earlier cooling. Historical September baselines around 25–27°C highlight the anomalous heat, while ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 34°C given the approaching trough. Traders appear to weigh these factors, with outcomes clustered around 31–33°C reflecting the balance between persistent high pressure and the timing of frontal impacts. Updated short-range runs and local observations will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on September 8?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 8?
32°C 37%
31°C 29%
30°C 11%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
29%
32°C
37%
33°C
1%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 29%
30°C 11%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
28°C or below
$63 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$25 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
31°C
$339 ปริมาณ
29%
32°C
$153 ปริมาณ
37%
33°C
$11 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$13 ปริมาณ
8%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C or higher
$115 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a peak temperature near 32–33°C in Milan on September 8, driven by lingering southerly flow and late-summer warmth before a cold front arrives. Increasing atmospheric instability, with afternoon thunderstorm risk and rising cloud cover, introduces uncertainty that could suppress the daily maximum through reduced insolation or earlier cooling. Historical September baselines around 25–27°C highlight the anomalous heat, while ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 34°C given the approaching trough. Traders appear to weigh these factors, with outcomes clustered around 31–33°C reflecting the balance between persistent high pressure and the timing of frontal impacts. Updated short-range runs and local observations will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$541วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a peak temperature near 32–33°C in Milan on September 8, driven by lingering southerly flow and late-summer warmth before a cold front arrives. Increasing atmospheric instability, with afternoon thunderstorm risk and rising cloud cover, introduces uncertainty that could suppress the daily maximum through reduced insolation or earlier cooling. Historical September baselines around 25–27°C highlight the anomalous heat, while ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 34°C given the approaching trough. Traders appear to weigh these factors, with outcomes clustered around 31–33°C reflecting the balance between persistent high pressure and the timing of frontal impacts. Updated short-range runs and local observations will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$541วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a peak temperature near 32–33°C in Milan on September 8, driven by lingering southerly flow and late-summer warmth before a cold front arrives. Increasing atmospheric instability, with afternoon thunderstorm risk and rising cloud cover, introduces uncertainty that could suppress the daily maximum through reduced insolation or earlier cooling. Historical September baselines around 25–27°C highlight the anomalous heat, while ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 34°C given the approaching trough. Traders appear to weigh these factors, with outcomes clustered around 31–33°C reflecting the balance between persistent high pressure and the timing of frontal impacts. Updated short-range runs and local observations will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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