Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain expected across Tokyo on September 6 are the main drivers keeping maximum temperatures in the narrow 23–25°C range, where market-implied odds cluster tightly at 26–31.5%. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple forecast models indicate northeasterly winds and high humidity will limit daytime heating, with precipitation timing and intensity creating only modest differences in the afternoon peak. These conditions represent a notable departure from the September climatological average high near 29°C, reflecting an active weather pattern that suppresses solar insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. Traders appear to weigh slight model variations in rain onset and wind strength, producing closely matched probabilities across the leading outcomes with limited scope for outliers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 6?
24°C 33%
25°C 29%
23°C 25%
26°C 9%
ใหม่
$10,249 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,249 ปริมาณ
Sep 6, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
25%
24°C
33%
25°C
29%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 33%
25°C 29%
23°C 25%
26°C 9%
ใหม่
$10,249 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,249 ปริมาณ
Sep 6, 2026
19°C or below
$1,245 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$1,062 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$168 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$971 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$1,632 ปริมาณ
25%
24°C
$822 ปริมาณ
33%
25°C
$1,665 ปริมาณ
29%
26°C
$1,755 ปริมาณ
9%
27°C
$413 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$239 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C or higher
$278 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain expected across Tokyo on September 6 are the main drivers keeping maximum temperatures in the narrow 23–25°C range, where market-implied odds cluster tightly at 26–31.5%. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple forecast models indicate northeasterly winds and high humidity will limit daytime heating, with precipitation timing and intensity creating only modest differences in the afternoon peak. These conditions represent a notable departure from the September climatological average high near 29°C, reflecting an active weather pattern that suppresses solar insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. Traders appear to weigh slight model variations in rain onset and wind strength, producing closely matched probabilities across the leading outcomes with limited scope for outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,249วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain expected across Tokyo on September 6 are the main drivers keeping maximum temperatures in the narrow 23–25°C range, where market-implied odds cluster tightly at 26–31.5%. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple forecast models indicate northeasterly winds and high humidity will limit daytime heating, with precipitation timing and intensity creating only modest differences in the afternoon peak. These conditions represent a notable departure from the September climatological average high near 29°C, reflecting an active weather pattern that suppresses solar insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. Traders appear to weigh slight model variations in rain onset and wind strength, producing closely matched probabilities across the leading outcomes with limited scope for outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,249วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain expected across Tokyo on September 6 are the main drivers keeping maximum temperatures in the narrow 23–25°C range, where market-implied odds cluster tightly at 26–31.5%. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple forecast models indicate northeasterly winds and high humidity will limit daytime heating, with precipitation timing and intensity creating only modest differences in the afternoon peak. These conditions represent a notable departure from the September climatological average high near 29°C, reflecting an active weather pattern that suppresses solar insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. Traders appear to weigh slight model variations in rain onset and wind strength, producing closely matched probabilities across the leading outcomes with limited scope for outliers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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