**Recent official forecasts from sources including the Wuhan meteorological authorities and international models consistently project a daytime high of 31°C for September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy to clearing skies with light northeast winds.** This consensus, supported by current afternoon observations climbing toward 28–30°C and climatological norms for early September in the region, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97% implied probability for 31°C. Traders are pricing in the absence of strong convective cooling or unexpected cloud buildup that could cap the peak lower, while the low odds on 32°C+ reflect limited upside potential from the current stable high-pressure influence. Resolution hinges on official station readings, which could shift only if localized showers or measurement timing deviates from model expectations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 5?
31°C 94%
32°C 5%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$31,923 ปริมาณ
$31,923 ปริมาณ
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
94%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 94%
32°C 5%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$31,923 ปริมาณ
$31,923 ปริมาณ
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
94%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from sources including the Wuhan meteorological authorities and international models consistently project a daytime high of 31°C for September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy to clearing skies with light northeast winds.** This consensus, supported by current afternoon observations climbing toward 28–30°C and climatological norms for early September in the region, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97% implied probability for 31°C. Traders are pricing in the absence of strong convective cooling or unexpected cloud buildup that could cap the peak lower, while the low odds on 32°C+ reflect limited upside potential from the current stable high-pressure influence. Resolution hinges on official station readings, which could shift only if localized showers or measurement timing deviates from model expectations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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