**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover are keeping daytime maxima in check across Metro Manila on September 5, 2026.** Official PAGASA guidance projects a high of 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with widespread thunderstorms, while multiple numerical models and station observations show afternoon readings clustered between 27–28°C. High humidity (near 90%) and steady southwesterly flow further limit solar heating and convective buildup, consistent with the 88.5% market-implied probability for 29°C. Historical September averages near 31°C are being suppressed by the active monsoon trough, reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could allow 30°C or higher. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA briefing will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on September 5?
29°C 91%
30°C 5%
31°C 2%
32°C <1%
$26,151 ปริมาณ
$26,151 ปริมาณ
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
91%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 91%
30°C 5%
31°C 2%
32°C <1%
$26,151 ปริมาณ
$26,151 ปริมาณ
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
91%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover are keeping daytime maxima in check across Metro Manila on September 5, 2026.** Official PAGASA guidance projects a high of 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with widespread thunderstorms, while multiple numerical models and station observations show afternoon readings clustered between 27–28°C. High humidity (near 90%) and steady southwesterly flow further limit solar heating and convective buildup, consistent with the 88.5% market-implied probability for 29°C. Historical September averages near 31°C are being suppressed by the active monsoon trough, reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could allow 30°C or higher. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA briefing will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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