Forecast models from agencies including the Spanish meteorological service indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 5 will likely reach 36–37°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and dry conditions that favor strong daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 37°C (47.5%) and 38°C (26.0%), reflecting consensus on above-average late-summer warmth relative to the 28.9°C climatological mean for the date. Model runs show limited spread, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk through afternoon hours when maxima typically occur. Official station data from Madrid-Barajas or Retiro will determine resolution, and any late-day revisions in observed maxima could shift final settlement within the narrow 36–38°C range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on September 5?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 5?
37°C 48%
38°C 27%
36°C 24%
39°C 3%
$43,682 ปริมาณ
$43,682 ปริมาณ
Sep 5, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
24%
37°C
48%
38°C
27%
39°C
3%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 48%
38°C 27%
36°C 24%
39°C 3%
$43,682 ปริมาณ
$43,682 ปริมาณ
Sep 5, 2026
33°C or below
$2,273 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$1,949 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$4,757 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C
$8,630 ปริมาณ
24%
37°C
$7,052 ปริมาณ
48%
38°C
$10,571 ปริมาณ
27%
39°C
$5,149 ปริมาณ
3%
40°C
$1,546 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C
$179 ปริมาณ
<1%
42°C
$1,121 ปริมาณ
<1%
43°C or higher
$455 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Spanish meteorological service indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 5 will likely reach 36–37°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and dry conditions that favor strong daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 37°C (47.5%) and 38°C (26.0%), reflecting consensus on above-average late-summer warmth relative to the 28.9°C climatological mean for the date. Model runs show limited spread, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk through afternoon hours when maxima typically occur. Official station data from Madrid-Barajas or Retiro will determine resolution, and any late-day revisions in observed maxima could shift final settlement within the narrow 36–38°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,682วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Spanish meteorological service indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 5 will likely reach 36–37°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and dry conditions that favor strong daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 37°C (47.5%) and 38°C (26.0%), reflecting consensus on above-average late-summer warmth relative to the 28.9°C climatological mean for the date. Model runs show limited spread, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk through afternoon hours when maxima typically occur. Official station data from Madrid-Barajas or Retiro will determine resolution, and any late-day revisions in observed maxima could shift final settlement within the narrow 36–38°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,682วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Spanish meteorological service indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 5 will likely reach 36–37°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and dry conditions that favor strong daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 37°C (47.5%) and 38°C (26.0%), reflecting consensus on above-average late-summer warmth relative to the 28.9°C climatological mean for the date. Model runs show limited spread, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk through afternoon hours when maxima typically occur. Official station data from Madrid-Barajas or Retiro will determine resolution, and any late-day revisions in observed maxima could shift final settlement within the narrow 36–38°C range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย