**Forecast models and official guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau indicate peak temperatures of 33–35°C on September 7, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure sustaining “autumn tiger” heat before a cold front and rain system arrive.** Recent observations show daily highs near 33°C on September 5, with numerical guidance and local outlooks projecting similar or slightly higher values under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light winds. Model consensus supports this narrow range, though increasing humidity and a 20–25% precipitation chance introduce uncertainty in afternoon maxima. Historical early-September baselines in the Sichuan Basin average around 28–30°C, making the current elevated readings notable. Traders are pricing the tight spread between 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C because fresh model runs or official updates on September 6 could shift the exact peak by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 7?
34°C 25%
32°C 21%
33°C 20%
35°C 16%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
21%
33°C
20%
34°C
25%
35°C
16%
36°C
11%
37°C
10%
38°C or higher
4%
34°C 25%
32°C 21%
33°C 20%
35°C 16%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
21%
33°C
20%
34°C
25%
35°C
16%
36°C
11%
37°C
10%
38°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau indicate peak temperatures of 33–35°C on September 7, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure sustaining “autumn tiger” heat before a cold front and rain system arrive.** Recent observations show daily highs near 33°C on September 5, with numerical guidance and local outlooks projecting similar or slightly higher values under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light winds. Model consensus supports this narrow range, though increasing humidity and a 20–25% precipitation chance introduce uncertainty in afternoon maxima. Historical early-September baselines in the Sichuan Basin average around 28–30°C, making the current elevated readings notable. Traders are pricing the tight spread between 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C because fresh model runs or official updates on September 6 could shift the exact peak by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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