Current numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 5, point to a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Chongqing on September 7 under mostly sunny skies, light southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors strong solar heating. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge is sustaining clear conditions and limiting moisture, with dew points expected near 16–19°C that allow efficient daytime warming without significant evaporative cooling. This aligns with recent observed highs of 35–37°C and climatological late-summer peaks in the region, though ensemble spread and possible minor model adjustments introduce uncertainty around exact peak values. Traders have priced 37°C as the modal outcome at 47.5% implied probability, reflecting the tight clustering of central forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 7?
37°C 48%
38°C 29%
36°C 16%
39°C 10%
32°C or below
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
9%
35°C
7%
36°C
16%
37°C
48%
38°C
29%
39°C
10%
40°C
5%
41°C
3%
42°C or higher
3%
37°C 48%
38°C 29%
36°C 16%
39°C 10%
32°C or below
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
9%
35°C
7%
36°C
16%
37°C
48%
38°C
29%
39°C
10%
40°C
5%
41°C
3%
42°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 5, point to a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Chongqing on September 7 under mostly sunny skies, light southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors strong solar heating. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge is sustaining clear conditions and limiting moisture, with dew points expected near 16–19°C that allow efficient daytime warming without significant evaporative cooling. This aligns with recent observed highs of 35–37°C and climatological late-summer peaks in the region, though ensemble spread and possible minor model adjustments introduce uncertainty around exact peak values. Traders have priced 37°C as the modal outcome at 47.5% implied probability, reflecting the tight clustering of central forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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