Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny conditions and light southeast winds for Chongqing on September 6, supporting a daytime maximum near 36–37°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk under 20%. Recent observations show persistent high pressure maintaining temperatures in the mid-30s through early September, above the monthly climatological average of 27–29°C, while ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values. The 37°C outcome leads market-implied odds at 46.5% because multiple runs converge on slight warming from September 5 highs near 35°C, though model updates or localized variations could shift resolution toward 36°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
37°C 47%
36°C 34%
35°C 10%
38°C 9%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
10%
36°C
34%
37°C
47%
38°C
9%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 47%
36°C 34%
35°C 10%
38°C 9%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
10%
36°C
34%
37°C
47%
38°C
9%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny conditions and light southeast winds for Chongqing on September 6, supporting a daytime maximum near 36–37°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk under 20%. Recent observations show persistent high pressure maintaining temperatures in the mid-30s through early September, above the monthly climatological average of 27–29°C, while ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values. The 37°C outcome leads market-implied odds at 46.5% because multiple runs converge on slight warming from September 5 highs near 35°C, though model updates or localized variations could shift resolution toward 36°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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