Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen on September 7 point to thunderstorm activity and highs near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 33.5% and 23.5% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon patterns and afternoon convection typical of early September in the Pearl River Delta are capping peaks, while variable rain timing introduces uncertainty around whether maxima reach 34°C or stay at 31°C. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes scattered storms that could suppress temperatures through cloud cover or allow brief spikes if convection weakens. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against historical September averages near 31°C, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum recorded by local stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 7?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 7?
32°C 34%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
29°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 7, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
16%
30°C
12%
31°C
25%
32°C
34%
33°C
24%
34°C
6%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
4%
32°C 34%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
29°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 7, 2026
26°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
30°C
$2 ปริมาณ
12%
31°C
$114 ปริมาณ
25%
32°C
$12 ปริมาณ
34%
33°C
$45 ปริมาณ
24%
34°C
$53 ปริมาณ
6%
35°C
$10 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C or higher
$500 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen on September 7 point to thunderstorm activity and highs near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 33.5% and 23.5% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon patterns and afternoon convection typical of early September in the Pearl River Delta are capping peaks, while variable rain timing introduces uncertainty around whether maxima reach 34°C or stay at 31°C. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes scattered storms that could suppress temperatures through cloud cover or allow brief spikes if convection weakens. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against historical September averages near 31°C, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum recorded by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$735วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen on September 7 point to thunderstorm activity and highs near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 33.5% and 23.5% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon patterns and afternoon convection typical of early September in the Pearl River Delta are capping peaks, while variable rain timing introduces uncertainty around whether maxima reach 34°C or stay at 31°C. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes scattered storms that could suppress temperatures through cloud cover or allow brief spikes if convection weakens. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against historical September averages near 31°C, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum recorded by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$735วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen on September 7 point to thunderstorm activity and highs near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 33.5% and 23.5% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon patterns and afternoon convection typical of early September in the Pearl River Delta are capping peaks, while variable rain timing introduces uncertainty around whether maxima reach 34°C or stay at 31°C. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes scattered storms that could suppress temperatures through cloud cover or allow brief spikes if convection weakens. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against historical September averages near 31°C, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum recorded by local stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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