Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 6, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 38% and 26% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and a 60–80% chance of rain or thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating in this subtropical monsoon climate, where September averages reach 31°C. Recent observations show similar conditions on September 5 with highs around 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Model consensus points to no significant warming or cooling shift before resolution, though any reduction in precipitation could allow brief peaks near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable, rain-influenced conditions most heavily.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?
31°C 39%
30°C 26%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
26%
31°C
39%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 39%
30°C 26%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
$160 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$125 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$150 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$144 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$411 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C
$1,738 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$1,196 ปริมาณ
26%
31°C
$995 ปริมาณ
39%
32°C
$361 ปริมาณ
18%
33°C
$743 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C or higher
$600 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 6, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 38% and 26% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and a 60–80% chance of rain or thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating in this subtropical monsoon climate, where September averages reach 31°C. Recent observations show similar conditions on September 5 with highs around 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Model consensus points to no significant warming or cooling shift before resolution, though any reduction in precipitation could allow brief peaks near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable, rain-influenced conditions most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,623วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 6, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 38% and 26% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and a 60–80% chance of rain or thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating in this subtropical monsoon climate, where September averages reach 31°C. Recent observations show similar conditions on September 5 with highs around 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Model consensus points to no significant warming or cooling shift before resolution, though any reduction in precipitation could allow brief peaks near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable, rain-influenced conditions most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,623วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 6, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 38% and 26% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and a 60–80% chance of rain or thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating in this subtropical monsoon climate, where September averages reach 31°C. Recent observations show similar conditions on September 5 with highs around 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Model consensus points to no significant warming or cooling shift before resolution, though any reduction in precipitation could allow brief peaks near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable, rain-influenced conditions most heavily.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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