**Persistent monsoon conditions and official forecasts are anchoring trader expectations around 31°C as the most probable high for Lucknow on September 6, 2026.** India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance issued September 5 projects a maximum of 31°C under generally cloudy to overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, following recent maxima near 32°C. Widespread rain and high humidity (often 80-90%) limit daytime heating by increasing cloud cover, enhancing evaporative cooling, and reducing solar insolation—typical for late-monsoon Uttar Pradesh. Multiple global and regional models converge on highs of 29–32°C, with the tight clustering around 30–31°C reflecting forecast consensus on continued moisture and limited clearing. Upcoming IMD updates and any shifts in steering patterns or rainfall intensity could nudge the exact peak, but current conditions strongly favor the 31°C outcome reflected in the leading market-implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
31°C 49%
30°C 27%
32°C 21%
29°C 5%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
27%
31°C
49%
32°C
21%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
30°C 27%
32°C 21%
29°C 5%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
27%
31°C
49%
32°C
21%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon conditions and official forecasts are anchoring trader expectations around 31°C as the most probable high for Lucknow on September 6, 2026.** India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance issued September 5 projects a maximum of 31°C under generally cloudy to overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, following recent maxima near 32°C. Widespread rain and high humidity (often 80-90%) limit daytime heating by increasing cloud cover, enhancing evaporative cooling, and reducing solar insolation—typical for late-monsoon Uttar Pradesh. Multiple global and regional models converge on highs of 29–32°C, with the tight clustering around 30–31°C reflecting forecast consensus on continued moisture and limited clearing. Upcoming IMD updates and any shifts in steering patterns or rainfall intensity could nudge the exact peak, but current conditions strongly favor the 31°C outcome reflected in the leading market-implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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