Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent onshore flow pattern will limit afternoon highs across Los Angeles to the mid-to-upper 70s through low 80s on September 2, with marine-layer stratus and southwest winds near 10-15 mph moderating peak temperatures. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when the region typically sees highs near 77°F absent strong offshore winds or ridging. Trader focus on the 76-79°F range reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, alongside uncertainty over exact station reporting (e.g., downtown versus LAX). No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, keeping implied probabilities clustered around these bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 2?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 2?
76-77°F 37%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 21%
72-73°F 5.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 37%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 21%
72-73°F 5.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
65°F or below
$926 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$513 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$256 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$82 ปริมาณ
6%
72-73°F
$49 ปริมาณ
6%
74-75°F
$387 ปริมาณ
27%
76-77°F
$416 ปริมาณ
37%
78-79°F
$349 ปริมาณ
29%
80-81°F
$33 ปริมาณ
5%
82-83°F
$23 ปริมาณ
2%
84°F or higher
$47 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent onshore flow pattern will limit afternoon highs across Los Angeles to the mid-to-upper 70s through low 80s on September 2, with marine-layer stratus and southwest winds near 10-15 mph moderating peak temperatures. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when the region typically sees highs near 77°F absent strong offshore winds or ridging. Trader focus on the 76-79°F range reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, alongside uncertainty over exact station reporting (e.g., downtown versus LAX). No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, keeping implied probabilities clustered around these bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,080วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent onshore flow pattern will limit afternoon highs across Los Angeles to the mid-to-upper 70s through low 80s on September 2, with marine-layer stratus and southwest winds near 10-15 mph moderating peak temperatures. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when the region typically sees highs near 77°F absent strong offshore winds or ridging. Trader focus on the 76-79°F range reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, alongside uncertainty over exact station reporting (e.g., downtown versus LAX). No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, keeping implied probabilities clustered around these bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,080วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent onshore flow pattern will limit afternoon highs across Los Angeles to the mid-to-upper 70s through low 80s on September 2, with marine-layer stratus and southwest winds near 10-15 mph moderating peak temperatures. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when the region typically sees highs near 77°F absent strong offshore winds or ridging. Trader focus on the 76-79°F range reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, alongside uncertainty over exact station reporting (e.g., downtown versus LAX). No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, keeping implied probabilities clustered around these bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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