Hong Kong's forecast for August 9 centers on a mainly fine day with maximum temperatures expected near 35–36°C, according to the Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day outlook of 29–36°C and supporting global model guidance. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these thresholds because recent runs show limited cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating, while isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms could suppress peaks below 37°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and current synoptic patterns add modest upside risk, yet typical August humidity and convective activity create genuine uncertainty around the exact high. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
35°C 39%
36°C 31%
37°C 19%
34°C 11%
ใหม่
$11,711 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,711 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
11%
35°C
39%
36°C
31%
37°C
19%
38°C
5%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
36°C 31%
37°C 19%
34°C 11%
ใหม่
$11,711 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,711 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
$598 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$1,762 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$957 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C
$1,221 ปริมาณ
11%
35°C
$2,002 ปริมาณ
39%
36°C
$1,242 ปริมาณ
31%
37°C
$1,147 ปริมาณ
19%
38°C
$1,610 ปริมาณ
5%
39°C
$401 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C
$382 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C or higher
$390 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's forecast for August 9 centers on a mainly fine day with maximum temperatures expected near 35–36°C, according to the Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day outlook of 29–36°C and supporting global model guidance. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these thresholds because recent runs show limited cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating, while isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms could suppress peaks below 37°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and current synoptic patterns add modest upside risk, yet typical August humidity and convective activity create genuine uncertainty around the exact high. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,711วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's forecast for August 9 centers on a mainly fine day with maximum temperatures expected near 35–36°C, according to the Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day outlook of 29–36°C and supporting global model guidance. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these thresholds because recent runs show limited cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating, while isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms could suppress peaks below 37°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and current synoptic patterns add modest upside risk, yet typical August humidity and convective activity create genuine uncertainty around the exact high. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,711วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's forecast for August 9 centers on a mainly fine day with maximum temperatures expected near 35–36°C, according to the Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day outlook of 29–36°C and supporting global model guidance. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these thresholds because recent runs show limited cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating, while isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms could suppress peaks below 37°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and current synoptic patterns add modest upside risk, yet typical August humidity and convective activity create genuine uncertainty around the exact high. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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