Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance centers Denver’s August 12 daytime maximum near 92–95°F, directly supporting the market’s tight clustering around the 92–93°F (35%) and 94–95°F (27%) bins. Mile-high elevation combined with typically dry August boundary-layer air promotes efficient daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions, yet increasing afternoon convective instability—shown in latest model runs—introduces cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can cap peak readings in the low-to-mid 90s. The normal high of 88°F (record 98°F set in 2022) provides climatological context, while the recent early-August heat wave (multiple 100°F+ days) keeps the distribution skewed slightly above average. Traders are weighting short-term model consensus and thunderstorm timing, with resolution hinging on official Denver observations at midnight MDT.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on August 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 12?
92-93°F 35%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 24%
96-97°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
35%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 35%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 24%
96-97°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
87°F or below
$1,321 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$1,645 ปริมาณ
3%
90-91°F
$1,796 ปริมาณ
24%
92-93°F
$890 ปริมาณ
35%
94-95°F
$1,810 ปริมาณ
28%
96-97°F
$602 ปริมาณ
9%
98-99°F
$538 ปริมาณ
<1%
100-101°F
$136 ปริมาณ
<1%
102-103°F
$214 ปริมาณ
<1%
104-105°F
$376 ปริมาณ
<1%
106°F or higher
$386 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance centers Denver’s August 12 daytime maximum near 92–95°F, directly supporting the market’s tight clustering around the 92–93°F (35%) and 94–95°F (27%) bins. Mile-high elevation combined with typically dry August boundary-layer air promotes efficient daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions, yet increasing afternoon convective instability—shown in latest model runs—introduces cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can cap peak readings in the low-to-mid 90s. The normal high of 88°F (record 98°F set in 2022) provides climatological context, while the recent early-August heat wave (multiple 100°F+ days) keeps the distribution skewed slightly above average. Traders are weighting short-term model consensus and thunderstorm timing, with resolution hinging on official Denver observations at midnight MDT.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,713วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance centers Denver’s August 12 daytime maximum near 92–95°F, directly supporting the market’s tight clustering around the 92–93°F (35%) and 94–95°F (27%) bins. Mile-high elevation combined with typically dry August boundary-layer air promotes efficient daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions, yet increasing afternoon convective instability—shown in latest model runs—introduces cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can cap peak readings in the low-to-mid 90s. The normal high of 88°F (record 98°F set in 2022) provides climatological context, while the recent early-August heat wave (multiple 100°F+ days) keeps the distribution skewed slightly above average. Traders are weighting short-term model consensus and thunderstorm timing, with resolution hinging on official Denver observations at midnight MDT.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,713วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance centers Denver’s August 12 daytime maximum near 92–95°F, directly supporting the market’s tight clustering around the 92–93°F (35%) and 94–95°F (27%) bins. Mile-high elevation combined with typically dry August boundary-layer air promotes efficient daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions, yet increasing afternoon convective instability—shown in latest model runs—introduces cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can cap peak readings in the low-to-mid 90s. The normal high of 88°F (record 98°F set in 2022) provides climatological context, while the recent early-August heat wave (multiple 100°F+ days) keeps the distribution skewed slightly above average. Traders are weighting short-term model consensus and thunderstorm timing, with resolution hinging on official Denver observations at midnight MDT.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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