Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover will limit Moscow's daily maximum to the 15–17°C range on August 13, driving the closely matched market probabilities. This deviates from the seasonal climatological average near 22–24°C, reflecting a transient pattern of northerly flow and possible light precipitation that reduces insolation and suppresses afternoon warming. Model consensus remains tight on this narrow band, yet small differences in frontal timing or convective development introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, consistent with the balanced odds across the leading outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar mid-August cool spells when assessing resolution risk.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
16°C 29%
17°C 26%
15°C 24%
14°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
12%
15°C
24%
16°C
29%
17°C
26%
18°C
8%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
16°C 29%
17°C 26%
15°C 24%
14°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
13°C
$28 ปริมาณ
4%
14°C
$34 ปริมาณ
12%
15°C
$50 ปริมาณ
24%
16°C
$111 ปริมาณ
29%
17°C
$96 ปริมาณ
26%
18°C
$269 ปริมาณ
8%
19°C
$29 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$17 ปริมาณ
5%
21°C
$12 ปริมาณ
5%
22°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover will limit Moscow's daily maximum to the 15–17°C range on August 13, driving the closely matched market probabilities. This deviates from the seasonal climatological average near 22–24°C, reflecting a transient pattern of northerly flow and possible light precipitation that reduces insolation and suppresses afternoon warming. Model consensus remains tight on this narrow band, yet small differences in frontal timing or convective development introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, consistent with the balanced odds across the leading outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar mid-August cool spells when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$663วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover will limit Moscow's daily maximum to the 15–17°C range on August 13, driving the closely matched market probabilities. This deviates from the seasonal climatological average near 22–24°C, reflecting a transient pattern of northerly flow and possible light precipitation that reduces insolation and suppresses afternoon warming. Model consensus remains tight on this narrow band, yet small differences in frontal timing or convective development introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, consistent with the balanced odds across the leading outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar mid-August cool spells when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$663วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover will limit Moscow's daily maximum to the 15–17°C range on August 13, driving the closely matched market probabilities. This deviates from the seasonal climatological average near 22–24°C, reflecting a transient pattern of northerly flow and possible light precipitation that reduces insolation and suppresses afternoon warming. Model consensus remains tight on this narrow band, yet small differences in frontal timing or convective development introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, consistent with the balanced odds across the leading outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar mid-August cool spells when assessing resolution risk.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย