Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD cluster Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C under persistent high pressure, limited cloud cover, and light winds that promote daytime heating. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and minor differences in any weak frontal passage create the tight split between the 30 °C (36.0 %) and 31 °C (33.5 %) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C capture tail risks. These near-term runs reflect greater uncertainty than typical August climatology (around 25 °C), with updated ICON and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours to refine surface energy balance projections ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on August 13?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 13?
30°C 41%
31°C 32%
29°C 14%
32°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
14%
30°C
41%
31°C
32%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 41%
31°C 32%
29°C 14%
32°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
$91 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$17 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$13 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$9 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$3 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$94 ปริมาณ
14%
30°C
$351 ปริมาณ
41%
31°C
$47 ปริมาณ
32%
32°C
$267 ปริมาณ
10%
33°C
$72 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C or higher
$90 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD cluster Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C under persistent high pressure, limited cloud cover, and light winds that promote daytime heating. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and minor differences in any weak frontal passage create the tight split between the 30 °C (36.0 %) and 31 °C (33.5 %) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C capture tail risks. These near-term runs reflect greater uncertainty than typical August climatology (around 25 °C), with updated ICON and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours to refine surface energy balance projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,053วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD cluster Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C under persistent high pressure, limited cloud cover, and light winds that promote daytime heating. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and minor differences in any weak frontal passage create the tight split between the 30 °C (36.0 %) and 31 °C (33.5 %) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C capture tail risks. These near-term runs reflect greater uncertainty than typical August climatology (around 25 °C), with updated ICON and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours to refine surface energy balance projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,053วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD cluster Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C under persistent high pressure, limited cloud cover, and light winds that promote daytime heating. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and minor differences in any weak frontal passage create the tight split between the 30 °C (36.0 %) and 31 °C (33.5 %) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C capture tail risks. These near-term runs reflect greater uncertainty than typical August climatology (around 25 °C), with updated ICON and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours to refine surface energy balance projections ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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