Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project maximum temperatures of 34–35°C on August 11 amid hot, humid summer conditions with variable cloud cover and isolated showers. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provides background support, yet short-term model spreads on insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flows create genuine uncertainty between these adjacent thresholds. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C because the precise daily peak hinges on small differences in afternoon clearing versus convective suppression, with updated HKO guidance and regional model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 16%
37°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
30°C or below
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
16%
37°C
15%
38°C
7%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 16%
37°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
30°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$35 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
34°C
$292 ปริมาณ
30%
35°C
$35 ปริมาณ
35%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
37°C
$151 ปริมาณ
15%
38°C
$551 ปริมาณ
7%
39°C
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
40°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project maximum temperatures of 34–35°C on August 11 amid hot, humid summer conditions with variable cloud cover and isolated showers. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provides background support, yet short-term model spreads on insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flows create genuine uncertainty between these adjacent thresholds. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C because the precise daily peak hinges on small differences in afternoon clearing versus convective suppression, with updated HKO guidance and regional model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,110วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project maximum temperatures of 34–35°C on August 11 amid hot, humid summer conditions with variable cloud cover and isolated showers. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provides background support, yet short-term model spreads on insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flows create genuine uncertainty between these adjacent thresholds. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C because the precise daily peak hinges on small differences in afternoon clearing versus convective suppression, with updated HKO guidance and regional model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,110วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project maximum temperatures of 34–35°C on August 11 amid hot, humid summer conditions with variable cloud cover and isolated showers. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provides background support, yet short-term model spreads on insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flows create genuine uncertainty between these adjacent thresholds. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C because the precise daily peak hinges on small differences in afternoon clearing versus convective suppression, with updated HKO guidance and regional model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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