A strong cold front, supported by an upper-level trough, is moving through the Western Cape this weekend, advecting cooler maritime air masses southward and suppressing daytime heating ahead of August 11. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to post-frontal conditions featuring increased cloud cover, light isolated showers along the coast, and northwesterly winds shifting to southeasterly, limiting insolation and keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below the August climatological average of 17–19 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17–20 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact post-frontal clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing, while the low odds assigned to 22 °C+ outcomes align with the expected suppression from cold-air advection and the Benguela Current’s cooling influence. Updated high-resolution runs from the South African Weather Service and global models over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst likely to narrow the distribution further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 11?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 11?
19°C 21%
20°C 17%
18°C 17%
17°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
15°C or below
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
14%
18°C
17%
19°C
21%
20°C
17%
21°C
14%
22°C
12%
23°C
6%
24°C
11%
25°C or higher
2%
19°C 21%
20°C 17%
18°C 17%
17°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
15°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
16°C
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
23°C
$10 ปริมาณ
6%
24°C
$17 ปริมาณ
11%
25°C or higher
$1 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong cold front, supported by an upper-level trough, is moving through the Western Cape this weekend, advecting cooler maritime air masses southward and suppressing daytime heating ahead of August 11. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to post-frontal conditions featuring increased cloud cover, light isolated showers along the coast, and northwesterly winds shifting to southeasterly, limiting insolation and keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below the August climatological average of 17–19 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17–20 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact post-frontal clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing, while the low odds assigned to 22 °C+ outcomes align with the expected suppression from cold-air advection and the Benguela Current’s cooling influence. Updated high-resolution runs from the South African Weather Service and global models over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst likely to narrow the distribution further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong cold front, supported by an upper-level trough, is moving through the Western Cape this weekend, advecting cooler maritime air masses southward and suppressing daytime heating ahead of August 11. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to post-frontal conditions featuring increased cloud cover, light isolated showers along the coast, and northwesterly winds shifting to southeasterly, limiting insolation and keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below the August climatological average of 17–19 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17–20 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact post-frontal clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing, while the low odds assigned to 22 °C+ outcomes align with the expected suppression from cold-air advection and the Benguela Current’s cooling influence. Updated high-resolution runs from the South African Weather Service and global models over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst likely to narrow the distribution further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...A strong cold front, supported by an upper-level trough, is moving through the Western Cape this weekend, advecting cooler maritime air masses southward and suppressing daytime heating ahead of August 11. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to post-frontal conditions featuring increased cloud cover, light isolated showers along the coast, and northwesterly winds shifting to southeasterly, limiting insolation and keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below the August climatological average of 17–19 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17–20 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact post-frontal clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing, while the low odds assigned to 22 °C+ outcomes align with the expected suppression from cold-air advection and the Benguela Current’s cooling influence. Updated high-resolution runs from the South African Weather Service and global models over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst likely to narrow the distribution further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย