Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 9 will likely reach 36–37°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that enhance daytime heating in the region’s continental climate. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where averages hover near 32–34°C yet recent model consensus and urban heat-island effects support a modest uptick. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 37°C because traders weigh AEMET guidance and ensemble runs against minor variability in peak timing or localized measurements at reference stations. With no significant fronts or moisture expected before resolution, the narrow uncertainty band favors outcomes between 36°C and 38°C while reflecting the inherent range in short-range summer temperature predictions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 9?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 9?
37°C 58%
36°C 24%
38°C 13%
35°C 4%
ใหม่
$25,262 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$25,262 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
4%
36°C
24%
37°C
58%
38°C
13%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 58%
36°C 24%
38°C 13%
35°C 4%
ใหม่
$25,262 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$25,262 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
32°C or below
$358 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$821 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$5,567 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$2,619 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$4,787 ปริมาณ
24%
37°C
$3,564 ปริมาณ
58%
38°C
$4,107 ปริมาณ
13%
39°C
$1,298 ปริมาณ
1%
40°C
$1,084 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C
$693 ปริมาณ
<1%
42°C or higher
$365 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 9 will likely reach 36–37°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that enhance daytime heating in the region’s continental climate. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where averages hover near 32–34°C yet recent model consensus and urban heat-island effects support a modest uptick. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 37°C because traders weigh AEMET guidance and ensemble runs against minor variability in peak timing or localized measurements at reference stations. With no significant fronts or moisture expected before resolution, the narrow uncertainty band favors outcomes between 36°C and 38°C while reflecting the inherent range in short-range summer temperature predictions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,262วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 9 will likely reach 36–37°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that enhance daytime heating in the region’s continental climate. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where averages hover near 32–34°C yet recent model consensus and urban heat-island effects support a modest uptick. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 37°C because traders weigh AEMET guidance and ensemble runs against minor variability in peak timing or localized measurements at reference stations. With no significant fronts or moisture expected before resolution, the narrow uncertainty band favors outcomes between 36°C and 38°C while reflecting the inherent range in short-range summer temperature predictions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,262วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 9 will likely reach 36–37°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that enhance daytime heating in the region’s continental climate. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where averages hover near 32–34°C yet recent model consensus and urban heat-island effects support a modest uptick. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 37°C because traders weigh AEMET guidance and ensemble runs against minor variability in peak timing or localized measurements at reference stations. With no significant fronts or moisture expected before resolution, the narrow uncertainty band favors outcomes between 36°C and 38°C while reflecting the inherent range in short-range summer temperature predictions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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