Hong Kong’s overnight minimum temperatures in early August 2026 are being shaped by above-normal seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory, which cites a long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral conditions favoring elevated nighttime readings. Recent observations show August 6’s low of 26 °C, with model consensus pointing to persistent high humidity, weak winds, and urban heat-island effects that limit radiative cooling and keep minima clustered near 28–29 °C. Short-term forecasts indicate mostly cloudy to fine conditions through August 10 with no significant cold-air intrusion or typhoon influence expected before the date, supporting the market’s strong preference for the 29 °C bucket. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and any late-model runs will be the next key inputs for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
29°C 55%
28°C 29%
32°C 15%
30°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
14%
28°C
29%
29°C
55%
30°C
14%
31°C
8%
32°C
15%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 55%
28°C 29%
32°C 15%
30°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
$27 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
29°C
$23 ปริมาณ
55%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
31°C
$24 ปริมาณ
8%
32°C
$27 ปริมาณ
15%
33°C
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C or higher
$22 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s overnight minimum temperatures in early August 2026 are being shaped by above-normal seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory, which cites a long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral conditions favoring elevated nighttime readings. Recent observations show August 6’s low of 26 °C, with model consensus pointing to persistent high humidity, weak winds, and urban heat-island effects that limit radiative cooling and keep minima clustered near 28–29 °C. Short-term forecasts indicate mostly cloudy to fine conditions through August 10 with no significant cold-air intrusion or typhoon influence expected before the date, supporting the market’s strong preference for the 29 °C bucket. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and any late-model runs will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$171วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s overnight minimum temperatures in early August 2026 are being shaped by above-normal seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory, which cites a long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral conditions favoring elevated nighttime readings. Recent observations show August 6’s low of 26 °C, with model consensus pointing to persistent high humidity, weak winds, and urban heat-island effects that limit radiative cooling and keep minima clustered near 28–29 °C. Short-term forecasts indicate mostly cloudy to fine conditions through August 10 with no significant cold-air intrusion or typhoon influence expected before the date, supporting the market’s strong preference for the 29 °C bucket. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and any late-model runs will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$171วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong’s overnight minimum temperatures in early August 2026 are being shaped by above-normal seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory, which cites a long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral conditions favoring elevated nighttime readings. Recent observations show August 6’s low of 26 °C, with model consensus pointing to persistent high humidity, weak winds, and urban heat-island effects that limit radiative cooling and keep minima clustered near 28–29 °C. Short-term forecasts indicate mostly cloudy to fine conditions through August 10 with no significant cold-air intrusion or typhoon influence expected before the date, supporting the market’s strong preference for the 29 °C bucket. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and any late-model runs will be the next key inputs for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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