Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a warm, sunny day in Cape Town on August 13 driven by high pressure and light offshore winds that limit the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current. This setup favors above-average winter highs, with several guidance runs showing maxima near 26–28°C under clear skies and minimal cloud cover. Typical August conditions feature highs around 18°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by berg wind potential and suppressed marine air—has shifted trader consensus toward 27°C (41.5% implied probability) and 28°C (31.5%). Model spread and possible late-day changes introduce uncertainty, particularly for thresholds above 29°C. Updated South African Weather Service and international runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 13?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 13?
27°C 44%
28°C 32%
29°C 14%
26°C 12%
ใหม่
$12,733 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,733 ปริมาณ
Aug 13, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
12%
27°C
44%
28°C
32%
29°C
14%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 44%
28°C 32%
29°C 14%
26°C 12%
ใหม่
$12,733 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,733 ปริมาณ
Aug 13, 2026
21°C or below
$633 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$925 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,119 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$885 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$906 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$1,777 ปริมาณ
12%
27°C
$2,213 ปริมาณ
44%
28°C
$2,588 ปริมาณ
32%
29°C
$991 ปริมาณ
14%
30°C
$280 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C or higher
$492 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a warm, sunny day in Cape Town on August 13 driven by high pressure and light offshore winds that limit the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current. This setup favors above-average winter highs, with several guidance runs showing maxima near 26–28°C under clear skies and minimal cloud cover. Typical August conditions feature highs around 18°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by berg wind potential and suppressed marine air—has shifted trader consensus toward 27°C (41.5% implied probability) and 28°C (31.5%). Model spread and possible late-day changes introduce uncertainty, particularly for thresholds above 29°C. Updated South African Weather Service and international runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,733วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a warm, sunny day in Cape Town on August 13 driven by high pressure and light offshore winds that limit the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current. This setup favors above-average winter highs, with several guidance runs showing maxima near 26–28°C under clear skies and minimal cloud cover. Typical August conditions feature highs around 18°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by berg wind potential and suppressed marine air—has shifted trader consensus toward 27°C (41.5% implied probability) and 28°C (31.5%). Model spread and possible late-day changes introduce uncertainty, particularly for thresholds above 29°C. Updated South African Weather Service and international runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,733วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a warm, sunny day in Cape Town on August 13 driven by high pressure and light offshore winds that limit the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current. This setup favors above-average winter highs, with several guidance runs showing maxima near 26–28°C under clear skies and minimal cloud cover. Typical August conditions feature highs around 18°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by berg wind potential and suppressed marine air—has shifted trader consensus toward 27°C (41.5% implied probability) and 28°C (31.5%). Model spread and possible late-day changes introduce uncertainty, particularly for thresholds above 29°C. Updated South African Weather Service and international runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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