Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Paris highs near 36–37°C (97–99°F) on August 12 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 35°C (46.5%) and 36°C (30.5%) outcomes. A strong high-pressure ridge is sustaining warm southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, maximizing daytime insolation across the Île-de-France region. Recent early-August heat, including peaks near 37°C, has reinforced this pattern with no significant frontal cooling or increased moisture expected before mid-month. Météo-France guidance points to continued stable conditions, though ensemble spread leaves modest room for 34°C or 37°C shifts depending on exact timing of any afternoon mixing or slight wind changes. Trader consensus reflects this forecast consensus while pricing in typical model uncertainty for a two-day horizon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 12?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 12?
35°C 47%
36°C 31%
34°C 10%
37°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
47%
36°C
31%
37°C
9%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 47%
36°C 31%
34°C 10%
37°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
29°C or below
$1,994 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$320 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$861 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$444 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$754 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C
$1,279 ปริมาณ
10%
35°C
$1,620 ปริมาณ
47%
36°C
$1,062 ปริมาณ
31%
37°C
$775 ปริมาณ
9%
38°C
$456 ปริมาณ
2%
39°C or higher
$380 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Paris highs near 36–37°C (97–99°F) on August 12 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 35°C (46.5%) and 36°C (30.5%) outcomes. A strong high-pressure ridge is sustaining warm southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, maximizing daytime insolation across the Île-de-France region. Recent early-August heat, including peaks near 37°C, has reinforced this pattern with no significant frontal cooling or increased moisture expected before mid-month. Météo-France guidance points to continued stable conditions, though ensemble spread leaves modest room for 34°C or 37°C shifts depending on exact timing of any afternoon mixing or slight wind changes. Trader consensus reflects this forecast consensus while pricing in typical model uncertainty for a two-day horizon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,944วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Paris highs near 36–37°C (97–99°F) on August 12 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 35°C (46.5%) and 36°C (30.5%) outcomes. A strong high-pressure ridge is sustaining warm southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, maximizing daytime insolation across the Île-de-France region. Recent early-August heat, including peaks near 37°C, has reinforced this pattern with no significant frontal cooling or increased moisture expected before mid-month. Météo-France guidance points to continued stable conditions, though ensemble spread leaves modest room for 34°C or 37°C shifts depending on exact timing of any afternoon mixing or slight wind changes. Trader consensus reflects this forecast consensus while pricing in typical model uncertainty for a two-day horizon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,944วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Paris highs near 36–37°C (97–99°F) on August 12 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 35°C (46.5%) and 36°C (30.5%) outcomes. A strong high-pressure ridge is sustaining warm southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, maximizing daytime insolation across the Île-de-France region. Recent early-August heat, including peaks near 37°C, has reinforced this pattern with no significant frontal cooling or increased moisture expected before mid-month. Météo-France guidance points to continued stable conditions, though ensemble spread leaves modest room for 34°C or 37°C shifts depending on exact timing of any afternoon mixing or slight wind changes. Trader consensus reflects this forecast consensus while pricing in typical model uncertainty for a two-day horizon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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