Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and numerical models indicate a daytime maximum near 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and elevated humidity typical of the region's monsoon-influenced summer pattern. These conditions support the market's strong implied probabilities for 37°C (30.5%) and 38°C (51.0%), consistent with recent observational trends and short-range ensemble guidance showing limited cooling from potential afternoon thunderstorms. Historical August baselines average highs around 33–34°C, yet ongoing warmth has kept probabilities elevated for the upper end of the distribution, with lower outcomes like 36°C or below reflecting only modest model divergence on precipitation timing. Updated guidance from official sources over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-consensus odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 12?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 12?
38°C 51%
37°C 29%
39°C 13%
36°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
7%
37°C
29%
38°C
51%
39°C
13%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
<1%
38°C 51%
37°C 29%
39°C 13%
36°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
31°C or below
$471 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$450 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$396 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$715 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$531 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C
$648 ปริมาณ
7%
37°C
$883 ปริมาณ
29%
38°C
$1,373 ปริมาณ
51%
39°C
$910 ปริมาณ
13%
40°C
$945 ปริมาณ
2%
41°C or higher
$496 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and numerical models indicate a daytime maximum near 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and elevated humidity typical of the region's monsoon-influenced summer pattern. These conditions support the market's strong implied probabilities for 37°C (30.5%) and 38°C (51.0%), consistent with recent observational trends and short-range ensemble guidance showing limited cooling from potential afternoon thunderstorms. Historical August baselines average highs around 33–34°C, yet ongoing warmth has kept probabilities elevated for the upper end of the distribution, with lower outcomes like 36°C or below reflecting only modest model divergence on precipitation timing. Updated guidance from official sources over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-consensus odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,820วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and numerical models indicate a daytime maximum near 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and elevated humidity typical of the region's monsoon-influenced summer pattern. These conditions support the market's strong implied probabilities for 37°C (30.5%) and 38°C (51.0%), consistent with recent observational trends and short-range ensemble guidance showing limited cooling from potential afternoon thunderstorms. Historical August baselines average highs around 33–34°C, yet ongoing warmth has kept probabilities elevated for the upper end of the distribution, with lower outcomes like 36°C or below reflecting only modest model divergence on precipitation timing. Updated guidance from official sources over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-consensus odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,820วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and numerical models indicate a daytime maximum near 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and elevated humidity typical of the region's monsoon-influenced summer pattern. These conditions support the market's strong implied probabilities for 37°C (30.5%) and 38°C (51.0%), consistent with recent observational trends and short-range ensemble guidance showing limited cooling from potential afternoon thunderstorms. Historical August baselines average highs around 33–34°C, yet ongoing warmth has kept probabilities elevated for the upper end of the distribution, with lower outcomes like 36°C or below reflecting only modest model divergence on precipitation timing. Updated guidance from official sources over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-consensus odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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