**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) project a maximum of 32°C for Busan on August 12, 2026, under clear skies with minimal precipitation risk and light easterly winds.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C holds the highest implied probability at 46.5% and 31°C follows at 36.0%, reflecting trader consensus around the official guidance. Coastal location typically introduces moderating sea breezes that limit extreme highs relative to inland areas, while recent early-August heatwave conditions (high 30s to over 40°C in parts of the region) have given way to more typical late-summer patterns. Model consensus and current observations support peak temperatures in the low 30s Celsius, with limited upside risk for 33°C or higher given stable atmospheric conditions and no strong warming signals in updated runs. Traders appear to weigh these verified forecast thresholds heavily, as resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on August 12?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 12?
32°C 38%
31°C 33%
30°C 20%
33°C 4%
ใหม่
$34,525 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$34,525 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
20%
31°C
33%
32°C
43%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 33%
30°C 20%
33°C 4%
ใหม่
$34,525 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$34,525 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
25°C or below
$608 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$427 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,219 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$2,837 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$3,827 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$6,719 ปริมาณ
20%
31°C
$7,671 ปริมาณ
33%
32°C
$4,388 ปริมาณ
43%
33°C
$3,049 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C
$2,553 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C or higher
$2,058 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) project a maximum of 32°C for Busan on August 12, 2026, under clear skies with minimal precipitation risk and light easterly winds.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C holds the highest implied probability at 46.5% and 31°C follows at 36.0%, reflecting trader consensus around the official guidance.
Coastal location typically introduces moderating sea breezes that limit extreme highs relative to inland areas, while recent early-August heatwave conditions (high 30s to over 40°C in parts of the region) have given way to more typical late-summer patterns. Model consensus and current observations support peak temperatures in the low 30s Celsius, with limited upside risk for 33°C or higher given stable atmospheric conditions and no strong warming signals in updated runs. Traders appear to weigh these verified forecast thresholds heavily, as resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,525วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) project a maximum of 32°C for Busan on August 12, 2026, under clear skies with minimal precipitation risk and light easterly winds.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C holds the highest implied probability at 46.5% and 31°C follows at 36.0%, reflecting trader consensus around the official guidance.
Coastal location typically introduces moderating sea breezes that limit extreme highs relative to inland areas, while recent early-August heatwave conditions (high 30s to over 40°C in parts of the region) have given way to more typical late-summer patterns. Model consensus and current observations support peak temperatures in the low 30s Celsius, with limited upside risk for 33°C or higher given stable atmospheric conditions and no strong warming signals in updated runs. Traders appear to weigh these verified forecast thresholds heavily, as resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,525วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) project a maximum of 32°C for Busan on August 12, 2026, under clear skies with minimal precipitation risk and light easterly winds.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C holds the highest implied probability at 46.5% and 31°C follows at 36.0%, reflecting trader consensus around the official guidance. Coastal location typically introduces moderating sea breezes that limit extreme highs relative to inland areas, while recent early-August heatwave conditions (high 30s to over 40°C in parts of the region) have given way to more typical late-summer patterns. Model consensus and current observations support peak temperatures in the low 30s Celsius, with limited upside risk for 33°C or higher given stable atmospheric conditions and no strong warming signals in updated runs. Traders appear to weigh these verified forecast thresholds heavily, as resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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