Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on August 13 points to partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms, supporting highs in the mid-to-upper 80s. This consensus drives the near-even market split between the 86-87°F and 88-89°F bins. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of convection, which can suppress peak readings by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus clearer periods that allow stronger surface heating under southwest flow. Dew points near 70°F and light winds add modest heat-index influence but little additional warming. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 13?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 13?
88-89°F 35%
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 18%
90-91°F 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
5%
94°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 35%
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 18%
90-91°F 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
75°F or below
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$32 ปริมาณ
4%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
84-85°F
$174 ปริมาณ
18%
86-87°F
$265 ปริมาณ
33%
88-89°F
$59 ปริมาณ
35%
90-91°F
$27 ปริมาณ
14%
92-93°F
$25 ปริมาณ
5%
94°F or higher
$108 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on August 13 points to partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms, supporting highs in the mid-to-upper 80s. This consensus drives the near-even market split between the 86-87°F and 88-89°F bins. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of convection, which can suppress peak readings by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus clearer periods that allow stronger surface heating under southwest flow. Dew points near 70°F and light winds add modest heat-index influence but little additional warming. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$693วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on August 13 points to partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms, supporting highs in the mid-to-upper 80s. This consensus drives the near-even market split between the 86-87°F and 88-89°F bins. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of convection, which can suppress peak readings by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus clearer periods that allow stronger surface heating under southwest flow. Dew points near 70°F and light winds add modest heat-index influence but little additional warming. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$693วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on August 13 points to partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms, supporting highs in the mid-to-upper 80s. This consensus drives the near-even market split between the 86-87°F and 88-89°F bins. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of convection, which can suppress peak readings by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus clearer periods that allow stronger surface heating under southwest flow. Dew points near 70°F and light winds add modest heat-index influence but little additional warming. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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