Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 12 shows a mostly sunny to partly cloudy setup with highs near 85–88 °F at Central Park and LaGuardia stations, positioning the 86–87 °F bin as the market favorite at 52.5 % implied probability. Afternoon convective development and modest humidity are expected to cap extreme peaks, keeping 88–89 °F at 28.5 % while limiting upside risk to the 1.8 % chance of 90–91 °F. Warmer-than-average August conditions and the absence of strong high pressure have kept temperatures above the 83 °F seasonal norm, yet model consensus favors moderation from scattered storms rather than full insolation. Updated midday observations and any revised NHC or local forecast discussions could shift bins before official daily maximums are recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 12?
86-87°F 53%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 18%
90-91°F 1.9%
ใหม่
$24,844 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$24,844 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
53%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 53%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 18%
90-91°F 1.9%
ใหม่
$24,844 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$24,844 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
79°F or below
$1,257 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$1,163 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$3,433 ปริมาณ
1%
84-85°F
$3,292 ปริมาณ
18%
86-87°F
$5,246 ปริมาณ
53%
88-89°F
$3,463 ปริมาณ
29%
90-91°F
$2,772 ปริมาณ
2%
92-93°F
$2,610 ปริมาณ
1%
94-95°F
$760 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$543 ปริมาณ
<1%
98°F or higher
$381 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 12 shows a mostly sunny to partly cloudy setup with highs near 85–88 °F at Central Park and LaGuardia stations, positioning the 86–87 °F bin as the market favorite at 52.5 % implied probability. Afternoon convective development and modest humidity are expected to cap extreme peaks, keeping 88–89 °F at 28.5 % while limiting upside risk to the 1.8 % chance of 90–91 °F. Warmer-than-average August conditions and the absence of strong high pressure have kept temperatures above the 83 °F seasonal norm, yet model consensus favors moderation from scattered storms rather than full insolation. Updated midday observations and any revised NHC or local forecast discussions could shift bins before official daily maximums are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,844วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 12 shows a mostly sunny to partly cloudy setup with highs near 85–88 °F at Central Park and LaGuardia stations, positioning the 86–87 °F bin as the market favorite at 52.5 % implied probability. Afternoon convective development and modest humidity are expected to cap extreme peaks, keeping 88–89 °F at 28.5 % while limiting upside risk to the 1.8 % chance of 90–91 °F. Warmer-than-average August conditions and the absence of strong high pressure have kept temperatures above the 83 °F seasonal norm, yet model consensus favors moderation from scattered storms rather than full insolation. Updated midday observations and any revised NHC or local forecast discussions could shift bins before official daily maximums are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,844วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 12 shows a mostly sunny to partly cloudy setup with highs near 85–88 °F at Central Park and LaGuardia stations, positioning the 86–87 °F bin as the market favorite at 52.5 % implied probability. Afternoon convective development and modest humidity are expected to cap extreme peaks, keeping 88–89 °F at 28.5 % while limiting upside risk to the 1.8 % chance of 90–91 °F. Warmer-than-average August conditions and the absence of strong high pressure have kept temperatures above the 83 °F seasonal norm, yet model consensus favors moderation from scattered storms rather than full insolation. Updated midday observations and any revised NHC or local forecast discussions could shift bins before official daily maximums are recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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