Busan’s coastal setting and sea breezes, combined with elevated humidity typical of mid-August, are moderating peak temperatures despite strong solar heating. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble models currently project a daytime maximum near 33 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only a 20 % precipitation chance and light northeasterly flow. These conditions support the market’s heavy concentration on 31–33 °C outcomes (collectively over 79 % implied probability), while the modest tail on 34 °C reflects residual uncertainty from possible variations in cloud cover or steering flow two days out. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context for the current elevated but not extreme forecast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on August 13?
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 20%
34°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33°C
20%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 20%
34°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33°C
20%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Busan’s coastal setting and sea breezes, combined with elevated humidity typical of mid-August, are moderating peak temperatures despite strong solar heating. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble models currently project a daytime maximum near 33 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only a 20 % precipitation chance and light northeasterly flow. These conditions support the market’s heavy concentration on 31–33 °C outcomes (collectively over 79 % implied probability), while the modest tail on 34 °C reflects residual uncertainty from possible variations in cloud cover or steering flow two days out. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context for the current elevated but not extreme forecast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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