Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 91–93°F for Miami on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and only isolated thunderstorm chances, positioning the 92–93°F bin as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features an average daily maximum of 89–91°F, with historical records near 96°F, but recent high-pressure dominance and drier air have suppressed extreme heat while allowing modest afternoon warming. Model consensus shows limited upside for 94–95°F absent stronger insolation or stalled outflow boundaries, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given observed trends and official guidance. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near peak heating will refine these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on August 12?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 12?
92-93°F 65%
94-95°F 32%
90-91°F 3%
96-97°F 3%
ใหม่
$12,722 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,722 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
65%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 65%
94-95°F 32%
90-91°F 3%
96-97°F 3%
ใหม่
$12,722 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,722 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
$702 ปริมาณ
1%
84-85°F
$959 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$615 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$1,247 ปริมาณ
1%
90-91°F
$1,256 ปริมาณ
3%
92-93°F
$3,413 ปริมาณ
65%
94-95°F
$3,311 ปริมาณ
32%
96-97°F
$1,126 ปริมาณ
3%
98-99°F
$338 ปริมาณ
<1%
100-101°F
$463 ปริมาณ
<1%
102°F or higher
$318 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 91–93°F for Miami on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and only isolated thunderstorm chances, positioning the 92–93°F bin as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features an average daily maximum of 89–91°F, with historical records near 96°F, but recent high-pressure dominance and drier air have suppressed extreme heat while allowing modest afternoon warming. Model consensus shows limited upside for 94–95°F absent stronger insolation or stalled outflow boundaries, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given observed trends and official guidance. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near peak heating will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,722วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 91–93°F for Miami on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and only isolated thunderstorm chances, positioning the 92–93°F bin as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features an average daily maximum of 89–91°F, with historical records near 96°F, but recent high-pressure dominance and drier air have suppressed extreme heat while allowing modest afternoon warming. Model consensus shows limited upside for 94–95°F absent stronger insolation or stalled outflow boundaries, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given observed trends and official guidance. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near peak heating will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,722วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 91–93°F for Miami on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and only isolated thunderstorm chances, positioning the 92–93°F bin as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features an average daily maximum of 89–91°F, with historical records near 96°F, but recent high-pressure dominance and drier air have suppressed extreme heat while allowing modest afternoon warming. Model consensus shows limited upside for 94–95°F absent stronger insolation or stalled outflow boundaries, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given observed trends and official guidance. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near peak heating will refine these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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