Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago points to a high near 76°F on August 24, driven by northerly winds and lake-effect moderation following a cool front that shifted regional flow earlier in the weekend. This has positioned 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, with 78-79°F at 33.5%, well below the late-August climatological normal of 81-82°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 80°F absent unexpected frontal delay. Traders are weighting these short-term observational trends and NWS updates over longer-range seasonal outlooks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on August 24?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 24?
76-77°F 47%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 47%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$72 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$103 ปริมาณ
1%
72-73°F
$78 ปริมาณ
4%
74-75°F
$261 ปริมาณ
10%
76-77°F
$1,220 ปริมาณ
47%
78-79°F
$165 ปริมาณ
35%
80-81°F
$201 ปริมาณ
6%
82-83°F
$124 ปริมาณ
2%
84-85°F
$46 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
88°F or higher
$110 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago points to a high near 76°F on August 24, driven by northerly winds and lake-effect moderation following a cool front that shifted regional flow earlier in the weekend. This has positioned 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, with 78-79°F at 33.5%, well below the late-August climatological normal of 81-82°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 80°F absent unexpected frontal delay. Traders are weighting these short-term observational trends and NWS updates over longer-range seasonal outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,420วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago points to a high near 76°F on August 24, driven by northerly winds and lake-effect moderation following a cool front that shifted regional flow earlier in the weekend. This has positioned 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, with 78-79°F at 33.5%, well below the late-August climatological normal of 81-82°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 80°F absent unexpected frontal delay. Traders are weighting these short-term observational trends and NWS updates over longer-range seasonal outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,420วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago points to a high near 76°F on August 24, driven by northerly winds and lake-effect moderation following a cool front that shifted regional flow earlier in the weekend. This has positioned 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, with 78-79°F at 33.5%, well below the late-August climatological normal of 81-82°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 80°F absent unexpected frontal delay. Traders are weighting these short-term observational trends and NWS updates over longer-range seasonal outlooks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย