Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Chicago O’Hare project an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s °F under mostly clear skies after daytime highs near 76–82 °F. This places the 60–61 °F bin at the center of model consensus, with modest radiative cooling expected under light winds and typical late-August humidity. Historical normals for August 23 hover near 64 °F, so current guidance sits slightly below average yet well above the sub-55 °F thresholds that would require an atypical cold surge or stronger high-pressure setup. Updated model runs overnight have shown little deviation, keeping higher bins (62 °F+) at negligible implied odds while the 51 °F-or-below outcome reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing rather than active cold-air advection. The next NWS forecast discussion and any revised temperature grids will be the primary near-term drivers for further market movement before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
51°F or below 82%
54-55°F 64%
56-57°F 64%
58-59°F 33%
$983 ปริมาณ
$983 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
51°F or below
82%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
64%
56-57°F
64%
58-59°F
33%
60-61°F
63%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
51°F or below 82%
54-55°F 64%
56-57°F 64%
58-59°F 33%
$983 ปริมาณ
$983 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
51°F or below
$17 ปริมาณ
82%
52-53°F
$18 ปริมาณ
1%
54-55°F
$5 ปริมาณ
64%
56-57°F
$5 ปริมาณ
64%
58-59°F
$17 ปริมาณ
33%
60-61°F
$220 ปริมาณ
63%
62-63°F
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$100 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$145 ปริมาณ
<1%
70°F or higher
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Chicago O’Hare project an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s °F under mostly clear skies after daytime highs near 76–82 °F. This places the 60–61 °F bin at the center of model consensus, with modest radiative cooling expected under light winds and typical late-August humidity. Historical normals for August 23 hover near 64 °F, so current guidance sits slightly below average yet well above the sub-55 °F thresholds that would require an atypical cold surge or stronger high-pressure setup. Updated model runs overnight have shown little deviation, keeping higher bins (62 °F+) at negligible implied odds while the 51 °F-or-below outcome reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing rather than active cold-air advection. The next NWS forecast discussion and any revised temperature grids will be the primary near-term drivers for further market movement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$983วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Chicago O’Hare project an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s °F under mostly clear skies after daytime highs near 76–82 °F. This places the 60–61 °F bin at the center of model consensus, with modest radiative cooling expected under light winds and typical late-August humidity. Historical normals for August 23 hover near 64 °F, so current guidance sits slightly below average yet well above the sub-55 °F thresholds that would require an atypical cold surge or stronger high-pressure setup. Updated model runs overnight have shown little deviation, keeping higher bins (62 °F+) at negligible implied odds while the 51 °F-or-below outcome reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing rather than active cold-air advection. The next NWS forecast discussion and any revised temperature grids will be the primary near-term drivers for further market movement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$983วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Chicago O’Hare project an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s °F under mostly clear skies after daytime highs near 76–82 °F. This places the 60–61 °F bin at the center of model consensus, with modest radiative cooling expected under light winds and typical late-August humidity. Historical normals for August 23 hover near 64 °F, so current guidance sits slightly below average yet well above the sub-55 °F thresholds that would require an atypical cold surge or stronger high-pressure setup. Updated model runs overnight have shown little deviation, keeping higher bins (62 °F+) at negligible implied odds while the 51 °F-or-below outcome reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing rather than active cold-air advection. The next NWS forecast discussion and any revised temperature grids will be the primary near-term drivers for further market movement before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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