National Weather Service model guidance and recent Central Park observations support trader consensus around a 68–69°F minimum in New York City on August 23, driven by partly cloudy overnight skies, dew points in the low-to-mid 60s that suppress radiational cooling, and light southerly flow moderating the boundary layer. This aligns with climatological averages near 67°F for late August and keeps implied probabilities heavily concentrated in the narrow 68–69°F bin. Clearer skies or a shift to drier northerly winds could allow greater nocturnal cooling and push readings toward the low 60s, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely before sunrise.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on August 23?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 23?
68-69°F 94%
66-67°F 5%
64-65°F 4%
60-61°F <1%
$5,478 ปริมาณ
$5,478 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
94%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 94%
66-67°F 5%
64-65°F 4%
60-61°F <1%
$5,478 ปริมาณ
$5,478 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
59°F or below
$60 ปริมาณ
1%
60-61°F
$478 ปริมาณ
1%
62-63°F
$572 ปริมาณ
1%
64-65°F
$189 ปริมาณ
4%
66-67°F
$176 ปริมาณ
5%
68-69°F
$322 ปริมาณ
94%
70-71°F
$1,667 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$727 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$511 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$496 ปริมาณ
<1%
78°F or higher
$280 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service model guidance and recent Central Park observations support trader consensus around a 68–69°F minimum in New York City on August 23, driven by partly cloudy overnight skies, dew points in the low-to-mid 60s that suppress radiational cooling, and light southerly flow moderating the boundary layer. This aligns with climatological averages near 67°F for late August and keeps implied probabilities heavily concentrated in the narrow 68–69°F bin. Clearer skies or a shift to drier northerly winds could allow greater nocturnal cooling and push readings toward the low 60s, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,478วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service model guidance and recent Central Park observations support trader consensus around a 68–69°F minimum in New York City on August 23, driven by partly cloudy overnight skies, dew points in the low-to-mid 60s that suppress radiational cooling, and light southerly flow moderating the boundary layer. This aligns with climatological averages near 67°F for late August and keeps implied probabilities heavily concentrated in the narrow 68–69°F bin. Clearer skies or a shift to drier northerly winds could allow greater nocturnal cooling and push readings toward the low 60s, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,478วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service model guidance and recent Central Park observations support trader consensus around a 68–69°F minimum in New York City on August 23, driven by partly cloudy overnight skies, dew points in the low-to-mid 60s that suppress radiational cooling, and light southerly flow moderating the boundary layer. This aligns with climatological averages near 67°F for late August and keeps implied probabilities heavily concentrated in the narrow 68–69°F bin. Clearer skies or a shift to drier northerly winds could allow greater nocturnal cooling and push readings toward the low 60s, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely before sunrise.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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