Recent forecasts from official monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum near 13–14°C for Buenos Aires on August 18, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities. Persistent high pressure and northwesterly flow have maintained mild winter conditions after several days with observed highs of 15–18°C, while latest model consensus shows limited diurnal warming under increasing cloud cover and light winds. Historical August climatology places average highs around 17°C, yet current sea-level pressure patterns and upper-level ridging favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Traders appear to weight the narrow forecast spread heavily, with minimal probability assigned to outliers above 15°C or below 12°C absent a rapid change in steering flow or frontal passage. Updated model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance tomorrow morning represent the next key data points before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 18?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 18?
14°C 57%
13°C 27%
15°C 11%
12°C 9%
ใหม่
$10,416 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,416 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
9%
13°C
27%
14°C
57%
15°C
11%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 57%
13°C 27%
15°C 11%
12°C 9%
ใหม่
$10,416 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,416 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
8°C or below
$625 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$945 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$402 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$672 ปริมาณ
1%
12°C
$741 ปริมาณ
9%
13°C
$2,491 ปริมาณ
27%
14°C
$2,087 ปริมาณ
57%
15°C
$594 ปริมาณ
11%
16°C
$423 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$438 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C or higher
$1,065 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum near 13–14°C for Buenos Aires on August 18, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities. Persistent high pressure and northwesterly flow have maintained mild winter conditions after several days with observed highs of 15–18°C, while latest model consensus shows limited diurnal warming under increasing cloud cover and light winds. Historical August climatology places average highs around 17°C, yet current sea-level pressure patterns and upper-level ridging favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Traders appear to weight the narrow forecast spread heavily, with minimal probability assigned to outliers above 15°C or below 12°C absent a rapid change in steering flow or frontal passage. Updated model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance tomorrow morning represent the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,416วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum near 13–14°C for Buenos Aires on August 18, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities. Persistent high pressure and northwesterly flow have maintained mild winter conditions after several days with observed highs of 15–18°C, while latest model consensus shows limited diurnal warming under increasing cloud cover and light winds. Historical August climatology places average highs around 17°C, yet current sea-level pressure patterns and upper-level ridging favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Traders appear to weight the narrow forecast spread heavily, with minimal probability assigned to outliers above 15°C or below 12°C absent a rapid change in steering flow or frontal passage. Updated model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance tomorrow morning represent the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,416วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from official monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum near 13–14°C for Buenos Aires on August 18, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities. Persistent high pressure and northwesterly flow have maintained mild winter conditions after several days with observed highs of 15–18°C, while latest model consensus shows limited diurnal warming under increasing cloud cover and light winds. Historical August climatology places average highs around 17°C, yet current sea-level pressure patterns and upper-level ridging favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Traders appear to weight the narrow forecast spread heavily, with minimal probability assigned to outliers above 15°C or below 12°C absent a rapid change in steering flow or frontal passage. Updated model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance tomorrow morning represent the next key data points before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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