**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" (91%) because U.S. actions in Latin America through September 2026 have centered on targeted raids, joint counter-cartel operations with host governments, and naval strikes on vessels rather than unilateral invasions of sovereign states.** The January 2026 operation in Venezuela that removed Nicolás Maduro involved coordination with interim authorities and has not been followed by comparable large-scale interventions elsewhere. Subsequent efforts, including the Americas Counter Cartel Coalition and Joint Task Force-Western Hemisphere, have expanded to land-based missions in Ecuador, Colombia, Guatemala, and Honduras only with local consent and focus on designated criminal groups. Mexico has continued intelligence and extradition cooperation while resisting direct U.S. troop deployments on its soil. Threats toward Cuba remain rhetorical without kinetic follow-through. With four months left in the year and no scheduled events or escalatory triggers indicating a shift to full invasions, market pricing reflects the continuation of this calibrated, partnership-based approach over broader military occupation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
9% вероятность
$276,714 Объем
$276,714 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
9% вероятность
$276,714 Объем
$276,714 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" (91%) because U.S. actions in Latin America through September 2026 have centered on targeted raids, joint counter-cartel operations with host governments, and naval strikes on vessels rather than unilateral invasions of sovereign states.**
The January 2026 operation in Venezuela that removed Nicolás Maduro involved coordination with interim authorities and has not been followed by comparable large-scale interventions elsewhere. Subsequent efforts, including the Americas Counter Cartel Coalition and Joint Task Force-Western Hemisphere, have expanded to land-based missions in Ecuador, Colombia, Guatemala, and Honduras only with local consent and focus on designated criminal groups.
Mexico has continued intelligence and extradition cooperation while resisting direct U.S. troop deployments on its soil. Threats toward Cuba remain rhetorical without kinetic follow-through. With four months left in the year and no scheduled events or escalatory triggers indicating a shift to full invasions, market pricing reflects the continuation of this calibrated, partnership-based approach over broader military occupation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Объем
$276,714Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" (91%) because U.S. actions in Latin America through September 2026 have centered on targeted raids, joint counter-cartel operations with host governments, and naval strikes on vessels rather than unilateral invasions of sovereign states.**
The January 2026 operation in Venezuela that removed Nicolás Maduro involved coordination with interim authorities and has not been followed by comparable large-scale interventions elsewhere. Subsequent efforts, including the Americas Counter Cartel Coalition and Joint Task Force-Western Hemisphere, have expanded to land-based missions in Ecuador, Colombia, Guatemala, and Honduras only with local consent and focus on designated criminal groups.
Mexico has continued intelligence and extradition cooperation while resisting direct U.S. troop deployments on its soil. Threats toward Cuba remain rhetorical without kinetic follow-through. With four months left in the year and no scheduled events or escalatory triggers indicating a shift to full invasions, market pricing reflects the continuation of this calibrated, partnership-based approach over broader military occupation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Объем
$276,714Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" (91%) because U.S. actions in Latin America through September 2026 have centered on targeted raids, joint counter-cartel operations with host governments, and naval strikes on vessels rather than unilateral invasions of sovereign states.** The January 2026 operation in Venezuela that removed Nicolás Maduro involved coordination with interim authorities and has not been followed by comparable large-scale interventions elsewhere. Subsequent efforts, including the Americas Counter Cartel Coalition and Joint Task Force-Western Hemisphere, have expanded to land-based missions in Ecuador, Colombia, Guatemala, and Honduras only with local consent and focus on designated criminal groups. Mexico has continued intelligence and extradition cooperation while resisting direct U.S. troop deployments on its soil. Threats toward Cuba remain rhetorical without kinetic follow-through. With four months left in the year and no scheduled events or escalatory triggers indicating a shift to full invasions, market pricing reflects the continuation of this calibrated, partnership-based approach over broader military occupation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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