Bilateral tensions peaked in early 2026 after U.S. operations in Venezuela prompted sharp rhetoric from President Trump linking Colombian drug production to potential military steps, met by warnings from President Petro. Those frictions eased through direct calls, a February meeting, and sanctions focused on individuals rather than state action. By mid-2026, Colombia’s transition to a new conservative administration has produced expanded counter-narcotics coordination, including joint planning against armed groups and renewed security frameworks. Traders price near-certain “no” resolution because no invasion orders, deployments, or sustained escalation have materialized despite the earlier episode. Late shifts remain possible only through abrupt breakdown in cooperation or major new triggers tied to trafficking routes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
3% вероятность
$148,889 Объем
$148,889 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
3% вероятность
$148,889 Объем
$148,889 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Bilateral tensions peaked in early 2026 after U.S. operations in Venezuela prompted sharp rhetoric from President Trump linking Colombian drug production to potential military steps, met by warnings from President Petro. Those frictions eased through direct calls, a February meeting, and sanctions focused on individuals rather than state action. By mid-2026, Colombia’s transition to a new conservative administration has produced expanded counter-narcotics coordination, including joint planning against armed groups and renewed security frameworks. Traders price near-certain “no” resolution because no invasion orders, deployments, or sustained escalation have materialized despite the earlier episode. Late shifts remain possible only through abrupt breakdown in cooperation or major new triggers tied to trafficking routes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Объем
$148,889Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Bilateral tensions peaked in early 2026 after U.S. operations in Venezuela prompted sharp rhetoric from President Trump linking Colombian drug production to potential military steps, met by warnings from President Petro. Those frictions eased through direct calls, a February meeting, and sanctions focused on individuals rather than state action. By mid-2026, Colombia’s transition to a new conservative administration has produced expanded counter-narcotics coordination, including joint planning against armed groups and renewed security frameworks. Traders price near-certain “no” resolution because no invasion orders, deployments, or sustained escalation have materialized despite the earlier episode. Late shifts remain possible only through abrupt breakdown in cooperation or major new triggers tied to trafficking routes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$148,889Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bilateral tensions peaked in early 2026 after U.S. operations in Venezuela prompted sharp rhetoric from President Trump linking Colombian drug production to potential military steps, met by warnings from President Petro. Those frictions eased through direct calls, a February meeting, and sanctions focused on individuals rather than state action. By mid-2026, Colombia’s transition to a new conservative administration has produced expanded counter-narcotics coordination, including joint planning against armed groups and renewed security frameworks. Traders price near-certain “no” resolution because no invasion orders, deployments, or sustained escalation have materialized despite the earlier episode. Late shifts remain possible only through abrupt breakdown in cooperation or major new triggers tied to trafficking routes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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