**The Israeli legislative election remains scheduled for October 27, 2026, the latest date permitted under law, after the 25th Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17.** Coalition leaders and Knesset legal advisers explicitly confirmed in mid-July that no early dissolution bill or schedule change would occur, marking the first full-term Knesset since 1988 and the first government to serve out its mandate since 1973. Party list submissions are due by early September, overseas diplomatic voting begins October 20, and the statutory framework provides no automatic mechanism for delay absent an 80-member supermajority vote under narrowly defined emergency conditions. Ongoing regional conflicts and domestic polling volatility have not prompted procedural shifts or legislative attempts to alter the timeline, supporting the strong trader consensus reflected in the 90.8% implied probability for an on-schedule vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
91% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 окт. 2026 г.
Да
91% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 окт. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**The Israeli legislative election remains scheduled for October 27, 2026, the latest date permitted under law, after the 25th Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17.**
Coalition leaders and Knesset legal advisers explicitly confirmed in mid-July that no early dissolution bill or schedule change would occur, marking the first full-term Knesset since 1988 and the first government to serve out its mandate since 1973. Party list submissions are due by early September, overseas diplomatic voting begins October 20, and the statutory framework provides no automatic mechanism for delay absent an 80-member supermajority vote under narrowly defined emergency conditions.
Ongoing regional conflicts and domestic polling volatility have not prompted procedural shifts or legislative attempts to alter the timeline, supporting the strong trader consensus reflected in the 90.8% implied probability for an on-schedule vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Объем
$6,797Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**The Israeli legislative election remains scheduled for October 27, 2026, the latest date permitted under law, after the 25th Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17.**
Coalition leaders and Knesset legal advisers explicitly confirmed in mid-July that no early dissolution bill or schedule change would occur, marking the first full-term Knesset since 1988 and the first government to serve out its mandate since 1973. Party list submissions are due by early September, overseas diplomatic voting begins October 20, and the statutory framework provides no automatic mechanism for delay absent an 80-member supermajority vote under narrowly defined emergency conditions.
Ongoing regional conflicts and domestic polling volatility have not prompted procedural shifts or legislative attempts to alter the timeline, supporting the strong trader consensus reflected in the 90.8% implied probability for an on-schedule vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$6,797Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**The Israeli legislative election remains scheduled for October 27, 2026, the latest date permitted under law, after the 25th Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17.** Coalition leaders and Knesset legal advisers explicitly confirmed in mid-July that no early dissolution bill or schedule change would occur, marking the first full-term Knesset since 1988 and the first government to serve out its mandate since 1973. Party list submissions are due by early September, overseas diplomatic voting begins October 20, and the statutory framework provides no automatic mechanism for delay absent an 80-member supermajority vote under narrowly defined emergency conditions. Ongoing regional conflicts and domestic polling volatility have not prompted procedural shifts or legislative attempts to alter the timeline, supporting the strong trader consensus reflected in the 90.8% implied probability for an on-schedule vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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