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Политика·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

icon for What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Политика·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

июл. 29

июл. 29

НОВОЕ

$22,664 Объем

29 июл. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$22,664 Объем

Polymarket

Inflation 40+ times

$1,816 Объем

27%

Inflation 20+ times

$395 Объем

88%

Task Force 20+ times

$1,443 Объем

36%

Good day

$1,517 Объем

69%

Groupthink / Group think

$1,034 Объем

30%

Independence

$200 Объем

41%

Echo of History

$955 Объем

47%

North Star

$570 Объем

35%

Predecessor

$0 Объем

23%

Bet / Betting

$961 Объем

62%

Trump

$795 Объем

9%

Balance Sheet

$548 Объем

81%

Central Bank

$1,132 Объем

84%

Productivity

$1,191 Объем

77%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$476 Объем

81%

Shock

$140 Объем

35%

Oil

$882 Объем

53%

Uncertainty

$121 Объем

64%

Restrictive

$20 Объем

65%

Projection

$25 Объем

45%

President

$1,092 Объем

37%

Dollar

$25 Объем

43%

Anchor / Anchored

$43 Объем

33%

Recession

$67 Объем

25%

Consumer Confidence

$1,031 Объем

10%

Iran

$528 Объем

21%

Tax

$0 Объем

21%

Crypto / Cryptocurrency

$0 Объем

14%

Dissent

$563 Объем

14%

Pandemic

$918 Объем

30%

Renovation

$530 Объем

6%

Good Afternoon

$2,663 Объем

14%

-No Qualifying Event-

$1,040 Объем

2%

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfFed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s recent semiannual testimony underscored a hawkish tilt, stressing “no tolerance” for elevated inflation, a potential policy “regime change,” and the Fed’s independence from political pressure amid questions about Trump administration influence. Traders are monitoring how these themes translate into July communications, particularly any signals on rate path adjustments given sticky CPI readings, resilient labor market data, and the balance sheet trajectory. Upcoming FOMC decisions and fresh inflation or payrolls releases could shift market-implied odds by clarifying whether Warsh maintains his data-dependent stance or leans toward earlier tightening. His emphasis on AI-driven investment and streamlined regulation also frames expectations for forward guidance.

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Объем
$22,664
Дата окончания
29 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfFed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s recent semiannual testimony underscored a hawkish tilt, stressing “no tolerance” for elevated inflation, a potential policy “regime change,” and the Fed’s independence from political pressure amid questions about Trump administration influence. Traders are monitoring how these themes translate into July communications, particularly any signals on rate path adjustments given sticky CPI readings, resilient labor market data, and the balance sheet trajectory. Upcoming FOMC decisions and fresh inflation or payrolls releases could shift market-implied odds by clarifying whether Warsh maintains his data-dependent stance or leans toward earlier tightening. His emphasis on AI-driven investment and streamlined regulation also frames expectations for forward guidance.

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Объем
$22,664
Дата окончания
29 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Связанные

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Текущий фаворит для «What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?» — «Inflation 20+ times» с 88%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 88%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Central Bank» с 84%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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