Chen Ting-fei secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Tainan mayor after defeating fellow legislator Lin Chun-hsien in the January 2026 primary, positioning her as the frontrunner in a city with longstanding DPP strength. KMT legislator Hsieh Lung-chieh serves as the main challenger, yet available polling through March 2026 showed Chen maintaining a lead despite some narrowing. Market pricing reflects these dynamics, with Chen at 81% implied probability and Hsieh at 16.5%, consistent with historical patterns of incumbent-party advantages in Tainan local races ahead of the November 28 election. Low probabilities for other listed candidates align with their limited visibility or party backing in official filings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧэнь Тин-фэй 84%
Се Лунцзе 17%
Лин И-фэн 1.4%
Линь Чунь-сянь 1.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чэнь Тин-фэй
84%
Се Лунцзе
17%
Лин И-фэн
1%
Линь Чунь-сянь
1%
Чэнь Тин-фэй 84%
Се Лунцзе 17%
Лин И-фэн 1.4%
Линь Чунь-сянь 1.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чэнь Тин-фэй
$406 Объем
84%
Се Лунцзе
$170 Объем
17%
Лин И-фэн
$113 Объем
1%
Линь Чунь-сянь
$94 Объем
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Tainan mayor after defeating fellow legislator Lin Chun-hsien in the January 2026 primary, positioning her as the frontrunner in a city with longstanding DPP strength. KMT legislator Hsieh Lung-chieh serves as the main challenger, yet available polling through March 2026 showed Chen maintaining a lead despite some narrowing. Market pricing reflects these dynamics, with Chen at 81% implied probability and Hsieh at 16.5%, consistent with historical patterns of incumbent-party advantages in Tainan local races ahead of the November 28 election. Low probabilities for other listed candidates align with their limited visibility or party backing in official filings.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Объем
$782Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Tainan mayor after defeating fellow legislator Lin Chun-hsien in the January 2026 primary, positioning her as the frontrunner in a city with longstanding DPP strength. KMT legislator Hsieh Lung-chieh serves as the main challenger, yet available polling through March 2026 showed Chen maintaining a lead despite some narrowing. Market pricing reflects these dynamics, with Chen at 81% implied probability and Hsieh at 16.5%, consistent with historical patterns of incumbent-party advantages in Tainan local races ahead of the November 28 election. Low probabilities for other listed candidates align with their limited visibility or party backing in official filings.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$782Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Ting-fei secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Tainan mayor after defeating fellow legislator Lin Chun-hsien in the January 2026 primary, positioning her as the frontrunner in a city with longstanding DPP strength. KMT legislator Hsieh Lung-chieh serves as the main challenger, yet available polling through March 2026 showed Chen maintaining a lead despite some narrowing. Market pricing reflects these dynamics, with Chen at 81% implied probability and Hsieh at 16.5%, consistent with historical patterns of incumbent-party advantages in Tainan local races ahead of the November 28 election. Low probabilities for other listed candidates align with their limited visibility or party backing in official filings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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