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icon for Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Выборы·Канада

Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Выборы·Канада

Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Sylvie Tanguay 44%

Geneviève Hébert 34%

Jacqueline Belleau 12%

Mia Fréchette 6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Sylvie Tanguay 44%

Geneviève Hébert 34%

Jacqueline Belleau 12%

Mia Fréchette 6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Sylvie Tanguay

Sylvie Tanguay

$181 Объем

44%

icon for Geneviève Hébert

Geneviève Hébert

$582 Объем

34%

icon for Jacqueline Belleau

Jacqueline Belleau

$550 Объем

12%

icon for Mia Fréchette

Mia Fréchette

$768 Объем

6%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Saint-François riding for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, National Assembly election, trader odds remain closely balanced among the main contenders because the seat features a fragmented field in a redistributed district where provincial trends and local dynamics overlap.** Incumbent Geneviève Hébert of the Coalition Avenir Québec faces Parti Québécois candidate Sylvie Tanguay, Québec solidaire’s Mia Fréchette, and Liberal Jacqueline Belleau, with projections from sources such as 338Canada showing the PQ ahead on popular vote estimates around 29–37 percent while the CAQ sits near 20–22 percent. The race stays tight due to split opposition votes, CAQ incumbency advantages in a historically competitive Estrie riding, and broader provincial polling volatility on issues including health care access, affordability, and temporary foreign worker policies relevant to the Coaticook area. Upcoming events such as the September 17 nomination deadline, party leader visits, and final-week polling could shift implied probabilities by clarifying turnout patterns or clarifying each party’s local strength.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Объем
$2,081
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Saint-François riding for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, National Assembly election, trader odds remain closely balanced among the main contenders because the seat features a fragmented field in a redistributed district where provincial trends and local dynamics overlap.** Incumbent Geneviève Hébert of the Coalition Avenir Québec faces Parti Québécois candidate Sylvie Tanguay, Québec solidaire’s Mia Fréchette, and Liberal Jacqueline Belleau, with projections from sources such as 338Canada showing the PQ ahead on popular vote estimates around 29–37 percent while the CAQ sits near 20–22 percent. The race stays tight due to split opposition votes, CAQ incumbency advantages in a historically competitive Estrie riding, and broader provincial polling volatility on issues including health care access, affordability, and temporary foreign worker policies relevant to the Coaticook area. Upcoming events such as the September 17 nomination deadline, party leader visits, and final-week polling could shift implied probabilities by clarifying turnout patterns or clarifying each party’s local strength.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Объем
$2,081
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Will Benoit Clermont win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Benoit Clermont win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?

42%
icon for Выиграет ли Валери Амель следующие выборы в Национальное собрание Квебека по округу Кот-дю-Сюд?

Выиграет ли Валери Амель следующие выборы в Национальное собрание Квебека по округу Кот-дю-Сюд?

42%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Шарль Паж следующие выборы в Национальное собрание Квебека по округу Драммон–Буа-Фран?

Выиграет ли Шарль Паж следующие выборы в Национальное собрание Квебека по округу Драммон–Буа-Фран?

56%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Sylvie Tanguay» с 44%, за ним следует «Geneviève Hébert» с 34%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 44¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 44%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — «Sylvie Tanguay» с 44%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 44%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Geneviève Hébert» с 34%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.